May 17, 2017 / 8:50 AM / 3 months ago

惠誉:全球增长复苏步入正轨

(The following statement was released by the rating agency) Link to Fitch Ratings' Report: Global Economic Update - May 2017 here LONDON, May 17 (Fitch) 本文章英文原文最初于2017年5月9日发布于:<a href="https://www.fitchratings.com/site/pr/1023361">Fitch: Global Growth Recovery on Track 惠誉评级在最新一期《全球经济报告》中称,全球增长率维持上升趋势,尽管第一季度美国GDP数据令人失望,但中国GDP增长高于预期,且欧元区和日本持续增长。 惠誉的首席经济学家布莱恩·库尔顿(Brian Coulton)表示,“第一季度美国增长放缓是因为消费疲软,并可能受到临时性因素的影响。失业率降低、财富增长、消费者信心提高和所得税可能削减的前景,将会支持20 17年第二季度消费回升。在中国,早期政策刺激活动的影响已被证明高于预期,住房市场增长放缓的实际速度也比预期的更慢。” 欧元区保持复苏的弹性和幅度,连续第八个季度取得每年1.5%-2.0%的稳定增长。 “私营部门的银行信贷增加、住房市场增强,表明宽松货币政策在欧元区逐渐取得成效,同时,自2015年起财政政策适度宽松、就业增长强劲也起到了支持作用,”库尔顿补充说 。 惠誉预计2017年全球增长率将由2016年时的2.5%加快至2.9%,并且惠誉已在3月将对2018年的预测由3.0%上调至3.1%。2017年美国增长预期已小幅 下调,但中国和日本的增长前景较好。 惠誉的最新一期《全球经济报告》请参见<a href="https://www.fitchratings.com">www.fitchratings.com或点击本新闻稿上方链接。 编者注:惠誉的经济学家团队由首席经济学家布莱恩·库尔顿(Brian Coulton)主管,该团队负责分析国际宏观经济趋势以及其对全球信贷市场的影响,并发布全球宏观经济研究、预测和评论,着重关注20个主要发达经济体和新兴经济体。本 《全球经济报告》是惠誉经济学家团队的旗舰性出版物,另有其他全球经济研究和评论,请参见<a href="www.fitchratings.com/sovereigns/economics">www.fitchratings.com/sovereigns /economics 联系人: Brian Coulton 董事总经理,首席经济学家 +44 20 3530 1140 Fitch Ratings Limited 30 North Colonnade London E14 5GN Media Relations: Peter Fitzpatrick, London, Tel: +44 20 3530 1103, Email: peter.fitzpatrick@fitchratings.com; Hannah James, New York, Tel: + 1 646 582 4947, Email: hannah.james@fitchratings.com; Leslie Tan, Singapore, Tel: +65 67 96 7234, Email: leslie.tan@fitchratings.com. 详情参见<a href="https://www.fitchratings.com">www.fitchratings.com 注意:本新闻稿为中文译本。如有疑问,请以英文版本为准。 ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. 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