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INDICATORS - Kazakhstan - October 7

Tue Oct 7, 2008 12:29pm IST 

 Oct 7 (Reuters) - Kazakhstan's economic indicators based on
data provided by the State Statistics Agency, government
institutions, the central bank and exchanges:
 *=updated today
                         CURRENCY/INTEREST RATE
                                       LATEST   PREVIOUS
  *tenge/dollar AFINEX01 KZT=         120.04     119.98
  Cbank refinancing rate (pct)             10.50      11.00
                            MONEY
  Monetary base(trln tenge)    Sept 30  1.75  Sept 15   1.77
  Cbank gold/forex reserves ($bln)
                            Sept 30 21.95  Sept 15  21.66
  National fund ($bln)         Sept 30 27.56  Sept 15  26.44
  Money supply(M3) (trln tenge)July  1  5.20   June  1  5.11
                             QUARTERLY DATA
                  Jan-June'08  Jan-March'08 Jan-June'07
 GDP (trln tenge)    6.949         3.144       5.495
 GDP (pct)          +5.4          +6.0       +10.2
                              MONTHLY DATA
                        PERIOD  CURRENT PREVIOUS YEAR-AGO
                                          MONTH
 Industrial output (pct)   Aug     +5.5     +0.1    +4.0
 Inflation (pct)          Sept     +0.6     +0.8    +2.2
 Unemployment (pct)        Aug      6.3      n/a     7.0
 Oil production (mnl T)    Aug      5.6      5.6     5.6
 Copper output ('000 T)    Aug     36.4     32.0    30.7
 Zinc output ('000 T)      Aug     30.0     30.8    26.6
 Copper output ('000 T)  Jan-Aug  252.8      ---   269.7
 Oil production (mln T)  Jan-Aug   46.8      ---    44.6
 Zinc output ('000 T)    Jan-Aug  244.2      ---   239.7
 Inflation (pct)         Jan-Sept  +8.1      ---    +8.6
 Industrial output (pct) Jan-Aug   +3.0      ---    +5.0
 Trade balance ($bln)    Jan-July +20.97     ---   +7.60
 Exports ($bln)          Jan-July  42.02     ---   25.51
 Imports ($bln)          Jan-July  21.05     ---   17.91
                FORECASTS FOR 2008
 GDP (pct)                                  5.3
 Annual inflation (pct)*                  10.0
 Annual inflation (pct)**                  9.9
 Budget deficit (bln tenge/pct GDP) -334.4/2.1
 Budget revenues (bln tenge)             2.729
 Budget spending (bln tenge)             3.064
 Industrial output (pct)                   9.6
 Oil output (mln T)                      67-70
 Grain harvest  (mln T, clean weight)     15.1
 * - government
 ** - National Bank
 

 ANNUAL COMPARISONS
          2007  2006  2005   2004  2003  2002  2001  2000
  GDP       +8.7  +10.7  +9.7   +9.6  +9.3  +9.8 +13.5  +9.8
  Ind output (pct)
         +4.5    7.0  +4.6   10.1  +8.8  +9.8 +13.5 +14.6
  Inflation (pct)
        +10.8  +8.6  +7.6   +6.7  +6.8  +6.6  +6.4  +9.8
  Yr-end M3 (trln tenge)
         4.61  3.72  2.07   1.64  1.00  0.77  0.57  0.40
  Yr end unemployment (pct)
          7.3  7.8   8.2    8.4   8.8   9.3  10.4  12.8
  Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight)
        20.1  16.5  13.8   12.4  14.8  15.9  15.9  11.6
  Oil output (mln T)
        67.5  65.0  61.9   59.4  51.5  47.2  40.1  35.3
  Copper output ('000 T)
       405.8 427.5 418.8  445.2 432.5 453.0 421.8 394.7
      Note: Oil output includes gas condensate
                KAZAKHSTAN'S LONG-TERM RATINGS
 S&P     (April 30, 2008)   BBB- negative outlook
 Moody's (June 9, 2006)   Baa2 stable outlook
 Fitch   (Dec 17, 2007)   BBB  negative outlook
 (State Statistics Agency website www.stat.kz,
  Stock Exchange www.kase.kz/eng/
  Central Bank www.nationalbank.kz/?switch=eng)
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