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INDICATORS - Kazakhstan - January 6

Tue Jan 6, 2009 5:06pm IST 

 Jan 6 (Reuters) - Kazakhstan's economic indicators based on
data provided by the State Statistics Agency, government
institutions, the central bank and exchanges:
 * updated today
                         CURRENCY/INTEREST RATE
                                       LATEST   PREVIOUS
 *tenge/dollar AFINEX01 KZT=          120.95     120.86
  Cbank refinancing rate (pct)             10.00      10.50
                            MONEY
  Monetary base(trln tenge)     Nov 30  1.30  Oct 31   1.57
  Cbank gold/forex reserves ($bln)
                             Nov 30 19.10  Oct 31   21.02
  National fund ($bln)          Nov 30 26.80  Oct 31   26.33
  Money supply(M3) (trln tenge) Nov  1  5.69  Oct 1     5.89
                             QUARTERLY DATA
                  Jan-Sept'08  Jan-June'08 Jan-Sept'07
 GDP (trln tenge)   11.614         6.949       8.971
 GDP (pct)          +3.9          +5.4        +9.7
                              MONTHLY DATA
                        PERIOD  CURRENT PREVIOUS YEAR-AGO
                                          MONTH
 Industrial output (pct)  Nov      -0.2     +4.6     n/a
*Inflation (pct)          Nov      +0.2     +0.4    +1.9
 Unemployment (pct)       Nov       6.7      n/a     7.0
 Oil production (mnl T)   Nov       5.9      6.1     5.6
 Copper output ('000 T)   Nov      36.1     36.4    38.0
 Zinc output ('000 T)     Nov      30.4     30.7    30.3
 Copper output ('000 T)  Jan-Nov  366.7      ---   363.6
 Oil production (mln T)  Jan-Nov   64.3      ---    61.4
 Zinc output ('000 T)    Jan-Nov  334.4      ---   327.0
 Inflation (pct)         Jan-Nov   +8.8      ---   +13.4
 Industrial output (pct) Jan-Nov   +2.6      ---    +4.5
 Trade balance ($bln)    Jan-Oct  +31.07     ---  +11.07
 Exports ($bln)          Jan-Oct   62.37     ---   37.89
 Imports ($bln)          Jan-Oct   31.30     ---   26.82
                FORECASTS FOR 2008
 GDP growth (pct)                          4.0
*Annual inflation (pct)*                   9.5
 Budget deficit (bln tenge/pct GDP) -334.4/2.1
 Budget revenues (bln tenge)             2.729
 Budget spending (bln tenge)             3.064
 Industrial output (pct)                   9.6
 Oil output (mln T)                      67-70
 Grain harvest  (mln T, clean weight)     15.1
 * - actual data
 

 ANNUAL COMPARISONS
          2007  2006  2005   2004  2003  2002  2001  2000
  GDP       +8.7  +10.7  +9.7   +9.6  +9.3  +9.8 +13.5  +9.8
  Ind output (pct)
         +4.5    7.0  +4.6   10.1  +8.8  +9.8 +13.5 +14.6
  Inflation (pct)
        +10.8  +8.6  +7.6   +6.7  +6.8  +6.6  +6.4  +9.8
  Yr-end M3 (trln tenge)
         4.61  3.72  2.07   1.64  1.00  0.77  0.57  0.40
  Yr end unemployment (pct)
          7.3  7.8   8.2    8.4   8.8   9.3  10.4  12.8
  Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight)
        20.1  16.5  13.8   12.4  14.8  15.9  15.9  11.6
  Oil output (mln T)
        67.5  65.0  61.9   59.4  51.5  47.2  40.1  35.3
  Copper output ('000 T)
       405.8 427.5 418.8  445.2 432.5 453.0 421.8 394.7
      Note: Oil output includes gas condensate
                KAZAKHSTAN'S LONG-TERM RATINGS
 S&P     (April 30, 2008)   BBB- negative outlook
 Moody's (June 9, 2006)   Baa2 stable outlook
 Fitch   (Nov 10, 2008)   BBB-  negative outlook
 (State Statistics Agency website www.stat.kz,
  Stock Exchange www.kase.kz/eng/
  Central Bank www.nationalbank.kz/?switch=eng)
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