TEXT-S&P cuts 60 ratings on 8 U.S. Alt-A RMBS deals
(The following statement was released by the rating agency)
Jan 15 - Standard & Poor's Ratings Services today lowered its ratings on 60 classes from eight U.S. Alternative-A (Alt-A) residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) transactions from various vintages. Additionally, we affirmed our ratings on 43 classes from the same transactions and removed 19 ratings from CreditWatch with negative implications. Of the 19 ratings removed from CreditWatch, 14 were lowered and five were affirmed (see list).
Standard & Poor's has established loss projections for each Alt-A transaction rated in 2005, 2006, and 2007 based on a forward-looking default curve. Our lifetime projected losses for the transactions in this release are as follows: Deal Original Loss name balance (mil. $) projection (%) American Home Mortgage Assets Trust 2005-1 462.6 5.92 American Home Mortgage Assets Trust 2005-1 335.4 3.00 JPMorgan Alternative Loan Trust 2006-A1 549.1 6.26 JPMorgan Alternative Loan Trust 2006-A1 323.3 9.95 Nomura Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-1 600.0 20.42 Nomura Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-1 423.1 12.27 RALI Series 2006-QS17 537.0 12.00
For deals before 2005, we analyze the delinquency pipelines using roll rate assumptions and loss severity assumptions to stress the credit enhancement for each rated class.
For more information on our projected losses for rated Alt-A transactions, see "S&P Provides Loss Projections For U.S. Alternative-A RMBS Transactions Issued In 2005," published Oct. 30, 2008, "S&P Revises Projected Losses For '06-'07 U.S. Alt-A Fixed-Rate And Long-Reset Hybrid RMBS," published Oct. 13, 2008, and "S&P Publishes Revised Projected Losses For '06/'07 U.S. Alt-A Short-Reset Hybrid, Neg-Am RMBS," published Aug. 20, 2008, which can be found on RatingsDirect.
The downgrades, affirmations, and CreditWatch resolutions incorporate projected losses based on the dollar amounts of loans currently in the delinquency, foreclosure, and real estate owned (REO) pipelines of the affected transactions. We also incorporated cumulative losses to date in our analysis to determine ratings outcomes.
The lowered ratings reflect our belief that the amount of credit enhancement available for the downgraded classes is not sufficient to cover losses at the previous rating levels. Although cumulative losses were generally low compared with our projected lifetime losses for the transactions reviewed, we are projecting an increase in losses due to upward trends in delinquencies and the current condition of the U.S. housing market. The affirmations reflect sufficient credit enhancement to support the ratings at their current levels. Certain senior classes also benefit from senior-support classes that would provide support to a certain extent before any applicable losses could affect the super-senior certificates.
The subordination of classes within each structure provides credit support for the affected transactions. Additionally, some of the structures use overcollateralization and excess interest to absorb losses and accelerate payments to certain securityholders.
We monitor these transactions over time to incorporate updated losses and delinquency pipeline performance to determine whether the applicable credit enhancement features are sufficient to support the current ratings. We will continue to monitor these transactions and take additional rating actions as appropriate. RATING ACTIONS American Home Mortgage Assets Trust 2005-1 Series 2005-1
Rating Class CUSIP To From 1-A-1 02660VAA6 AA AAA 2-A-2-2 02660VAD0 AA AAA C-B-5 02660VAU2 D CCC 3-M-1 02660VAJ7 BBB AA/Watch Neg 3-M-2 02660VAK4 CCC B+/Watch Neg 3-M-4 02660VAM0 CC CCC American Home Mortgage Investment Trust 2004-1 Series 2004-1
Rating Class CUSIP To From II-M-1 02660TAK9 BBB AA II-M-2 02660TAL7 B A IV-M-2 02660TAT0 BB A II-M-3 02660TAM5 CCC BBB/Watch Neg IV-M-3 02660TAU7 CCC B Credit Suisse First Boston Mortgage Securities Corp. Series 2002-AR2
Rating Class CUSIP To From I-B-2 22540VTX0 A A/Watch Neg II-B 22540VTZ5 BBB BBB/Watch Neg Impac CMB Trust Series 2003-4 Series 2003-4
Rating Class CUSIP To From 1-A-1 45254NED5 AA AA/Watch Neg 2-A-1 45254NEF0 AA AA/Watch Neg 3-B-1 45254NEL7 BB BBB+
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