INDICATORS - Kazakhstan - January 15
Jan 15 (Reuters) - Kazakhstan's economic indicators based on data provided by the State Statistics Agency, government institutions, the central bank and exchanges:
* updated today
CURRENCY/INTEREST RATE
LATEST PREVIOUS *tenge/dollar AFINEX01 KZT= 121.37 121.26 Cbank refinancing rate (pct) 10.00 10.50
MONEY Monetary base(trln tenge) Dec 31 1.47 Nov 30 1.30 Cbank gold/forex reserves ($bln)
Dec 31 19.40 Nov 30 19.10 National fund ($bln) Dec 31 27.33 Nov 30 26.80 Money supply(M3) (trln tenge) Nov 1 5.69 Oct 1 5.89
QUARTERLY DATA
Jan-Sept'08 Jan-June'08 Jan-Sept'07
GDP (trln tenge) 11.614 6.949 8.971
GDP (pct) +3.9 +5.4 +9.7
MONTHLY DATA
PERIOD CURRENT PREVIOUS YEAR-AGO
MONTH
Industrial output (pct) Nov -0.2 +4.6 n/a
Inflation (pct) Dec +0.2 +0.4 +1.9
Unemployment (pct) Nov 6.7 n/a 7.0
Oil production (mnl T) Nov 5.9 6.1 5.6
Copper output ('000 T) Nov 36.1 36.4 38.0
Zinc output ('000 T) Nov 30.4 30.7 30.3
Copper output ('000 T) Jan-Nov 366.7 --- 363.6
Oil production (mln T) Jan-Nov 64.3 --- 61.4
Zinc output ('000 T) Jan-Nov 334.4 --- 327.0
Inflation (pct) Jan-Dec +9.5 --- +18.8
Industrial output (pct) Jan-Dec +2.1 --- +4.5
Trade balance ($bln) Jan-Oct +31.07 --- +11.07
Exports ($bln) Jan-Oct 62.37 --- 37.89
Imports ($bln) Jan-Oct 31.30 --- 26.82
FORECASTS FOR 2008
GDP growth (pct) 4.0
Annual inflation (pct)* 9.5
Budget deficit (bln tenge/pct GDP) -334.4/2.1
Budget revenues (bln tenge) 2.729
Budget spending (bln tenge) 3.064
Industrial output (pct)* 2.1
Oil output (mln T)* 70.6
Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight)* 15.6
* - actual data
ANNUAL COMPARISONS
2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 GDP n/a +8.7 +10.7 +9.7 +9.6 +9.3 +9.8 +13.5 Ind output (pct)
+2.1 +4.5 7.0 +4.6 10.1 +8.8 +9.8 +13.5 Inflation (pct)
+9.5 +18.8 +8.6 +7.6 +6.7 +6.8 +6.6 +6.4 Yr-end M3 (trln tenge)
n/a 4.61 3.72 2.07 1.64 1.00 0.77 0.57 Yr end unemployment (pct)
n/a 7.3 7.8 8.2 8.4 8.8 9.3 10.4 Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight)
15.6 20.1 16.5 13.8 12.4 14.8 15.9 15.9 Oil output (mln T)
70.6 67.5 65.0 61.9 59.4 51.5 47.2 40.1
Copper output ('000 T)
n/a 405.8 427.5 418.8 445.2 432.5 453.0 421.8
Note: Oil output includes gas condensate
KAZAKHSTAN'S LONG-TERM RATINGS
S&P (April 30, 2008) BBB- negative outlook
Moody's (June 9, 2006) Baa2 stable outlook
Fitch (Nov 10, 2008) BBB- negative outlook
(State Statistics Agency website www.stat.kz,
Stock Exchange www.kase.kz/eng/
Central Bank www.nationalbank.kz/?switch=eng)
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