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INDICATORS - Kazakhstan - January 19

Mon Jan 19, 2009 11:13am IST 

 Jan 19 (Reuters) - Kazakhstan's economic indicators based on
data provided by the State Statistics Agency, government
institutions, the central bank and exchanges:
 * updated today
                         CURRENCY/INTEREST RATE
                                       LATEST   PREVIOUS
 *tenge/dollar AFINEX01 KZT=          121.29     121.31
  Cbank refinancing rate (pct)             10.00      10.50
                            MONEY
  Monetary base(trln tenge)     Dec 31  1.47  Nov 30   1.30
  Cbank gold/forex reserves ($bln)
                             Dec 31 19.40  Nov 30   19.10
  National fund ($bln)          Dec 31 27.33  Nov 30   26.80
  Money supply(M3) (trln tenge) Nov  1  5.69  Oct 1     5.89
                             QUARTERLY DATA
                  Jan-Sept'08  Jan-June'08 Jan-Sept'07
 GDP (trln tenge)   11.614         6.949       8.971
 GDP (pct)          +3.9          +5.4        +9.7
                              MONTHLY DATA
                        PERIOD  CURRENT PREVIOUS YEAR-AGO
                                          MONTH
 Industrial output (pct)  Nov      -0.2     +4.6     n/a
 Inflation (pct)          Dec      +0.2     +0.4    +1.9
 Unemployment (pct)       Nov       6.7      n/a     7.0
 Oil production (mnl T)   Nov       5.9      6.1     5.6
 Copper output ('000 T)   Nov      36.1     36.4    38.0
 Zinc output ('000 T)     Nov      30.4     30.7    30.3
 Copper output ('000 T)  Jan-Nov  366.7      ---   363.6
 Oil production (mln T)  Jan-Nov   64.3      ---    61.4
 Zinc output ('000 T)    Jan-Nov  334.4      ---   327.0
 Inflation (pct)         Jan-Dec   +9.5      ---   +18.8
 Industrial output (pct) Jan-Dec   +2.1      ---    +4.5
 Trade balance ($bln)    Jan-Oct  +31.07     ---  +11.07
 Exports ($bln)          Jan-Oct   62.37     ---   37.89
 Imports ($bln)          Jan-Oct   31.30     ---   26.82
                FORECASTS FOR 2008
 GDP growth (pct)                          4.0
 Annual inflation (pct)*                   9.5
 Budget deficit (bln tenge/pct GDP) -334.4/2.1
 Budget revenues (bln tenge)             2.729
 Budget spending (bln tenge)             3.064
 Industrial output (pct)*                  2.1
 Oil output (mln T)*                      70.6
 Grain harvest  (mln T, clean weight)*    15.6
 * - actual data
 

 ANNUAL COMPARISONS
         2008  2007  2006  2005   2004  2003  2002  2001
  GDP        n/a  +8.7 +10.7  +9.7   +9.6  +9.3  +9.8 +13.5
  Ind output (pct)
         +2.1  +4.5   7.0  +4.6   10.1  +8.8  +9.8 +13.5
  Inflation (pct)
         +9.5 +18.8  +8.6  +7.6   +6.7  +6.8  +6.6  +6.4
  Yr-end M3 (trln tenge)
          n/a  4.61  3.72  2.07   1.64  1.00  0.77  0.57
  Yr end unemployment (pct)
          n/a   7.3   7.8   8.2    8.4   8.8   9.3  10.4
  Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight)
         15.6  20.1  16.5  13.8   12.4  14.8  15.9  15.9
  Oil output (mln T)
         70.6  67.5  65.0  61.9   59.4  51.5  47.2  40.1
  Copper output ('000 T)
          n/a 405.8 427.5 418.8  445.2 432.5 453.0 421.8
      Note: Oil output includes gas condensate
                KAZAKHSTAN'S LONG-TERM RATINGS
 S&P     (April 30, 2008)   BBB- negative outlook
 Moody's (June 9, 2006)   Baa2 stable outlook
 Fitch   (Nov 10, 2008)   BBB-  negative outlook
 (State Statistics Agency website www.stat.kz,
  Stock Exchange www.kase.kz/eng/
  Central Bank www.nationalbank.kz/?switch=eng)
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