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INDICATORS - Kazakhstan - January 21

Wed Jan 21, 2009 12:54pm IST

 Jan 21 (Reuters) - Kazakhstan's economic indicators
based on data provided by the State Statistics Agency,
government institutions, the central bank and exchanges:
 * updated today
                         CURRENCY/INTEREST RATE
                                       LATEST   PREVIOUS
 *tenge/dollar AFINEX01 KZT=          121.31     121.30
  Cbank refinancing rate (pct)             10.00      10.50
                            MONEY
  Monetary base(trln tenge)     Dec 31  1.47  Nov 30   1.30
  Cbank gold/forex reserves ($bln)
                             Dec 31 19.40  Nov 30   19.10
  National fund ($bln)          Dec 31 27.33  Nov 30   26.80
  Money supply(M3) (trln tenge) Nov  1  5.69  Oct 1     5.89
                             QUARTERLY DATA
                  Jan-Dec'08  Jan-Sept'08 Jan-Dec'07
 GDP (trln tenge)   n/a        11.614      12.567
 GDP (pct)         +3.1        +3.9        +8.5
                              MONTHLY DATA
                        PERIOD  CURRENT PREVIOUS YEAR-AGO
                                          MONTH
 Industrial output (pct)  Nov      -0.2     +4.6     n/a
 Inflation (pct)          Dec      +0.2     +0.4    +1.9
 Unemployment (pct)       Dec       6.7      6.4     7.3
*Oil production (mnl T)   Dec       6.3      6.0     5.7
*Copper output ('000 T)   Dec      31.3     36.1    42.5
*Zinc output ('000 T)     Dec      31.2     30.4    31.2
*Copper output ('000 T)  Jan-Dec  398.0      ---   406.1
*Oil production (mln T)  Jan-Dec   70.7      ---    67.1
*Zinc output ('000 T)    Jan-Dec  365.6      ---   358.2
 Inflation (pct)         Jan-Dec   +9.5      ---   +18.8
 Industrial output (pct) Jan-Dec   +2.1      ---    +4.5
*Trade balance ($bln)    Jan-Nov  +32.69     ---  +12.81
*Exports ($bln)          Jan-Nov   66.95     ---   42.58
*Imports ($bln)          Jan-Nov   34.26     ---   29.77
                FORECASTS FOR 2009
*GDP growth (pct)                          2.0
*Annual inflation (pct)                    9.0
*Budget deficit (bln tenge/pct GDP) 571.4/-3.4
*Budget revenues (bln tenge)             2.861
*Budget spending (bln tenge)             3.432
 Industrial output (pct)                   n/a
*Oil output (mln T)                      76-79
 Grain harvest  (mln T, clean weight)*     n/a
*Unemployment (pct)                        8.0
 
 ANNUAL COMPARISONS
         2008  2007  2006  2005   2004  2003  2002  2001
  GDP        3.1  +8.7 +10.7  +9.7   +9.6  +9.3  +9.8 +13.5
  Ind output (pct)
         +2.1  +4.5   7.0  +4.6   10.1  +8.8  +9.8 +13.5
  Inflation (pct)
         +9.5 +18.8  +8.6  +7.6   +6.7  +6.8  +6.6  +6.4
  Yr-end M3 (trln tenge)
          n/a  4.61  3.72  2.07   1.64  1.00  0.77  0.57
  Yr end unemployment (pct)
          7.0   7.3   7.8   8.2    8.4   8.8   9.3  10.4
  Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight)
         15.6  20.1  16.5  13.8   12.4  14.8  15.9  15.9
 *Oil output (mln T)
         70.6  67.1  65.0  61.9   59.4  51.5  47.2  40.1
  Copper output ('000 T)
        398.0 405.8 427.5 418.8  445.2 432.5 453.0 421.8
      Note: Oil output includes gas condensate
                KAZAKHSTAN'S LONG-TERM RATINGS
 S&P     (April 30, 2008)   BBB- negative outlook
 Moody's (June 9, 2006)   Baa2 stable outlook
 Fitch   (Nov 10, 2008)   BBB-  negative outlook
 (State Statistics Agency website www.stat.kz,
  Stock Exchange www.kase.kz/eng/
  Central Bank www.nationalbank.kz/?switch=eng)

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