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INDICATORS - Kazakhstan - March 3

Tue Mar 3, 2009 11:22am IST 

 March 3 (Reuters) - Kazakhstan's economic indicators based
on data provided by the State Statistics Agency, government
institutions, the central bank and exchanges:
 * updated today
                         CURRENCY/INTEREST RATE
                                       LATEST   PREVIOUS
 *tenge/dollar AFINEX01 KZT=          150.54     150.60
  Cbank refinancing rate (pct)              9.50      10.00
                            MONEY
  Monetary base(trln tenge)     Dec 31  1.47  Nov 30   1.30
  Cbank gold/forex reserves ($bln)
                             Jan 31 18.28  Dec 31   19.40
  National fund ($bln)          Dec 31 27.33  Nov 30   26.80
  Money supply(M3) (trln tenge) Jan  1  6.27  Dec 1     6.02
                             QUARTERLY DATA
                  Jan-Dec'08  Jan-Sept'08 Jan-Dec'07
 GDP (trln tenge)  15.907      11.614      12.567
 GDP (pct)         +3.2        +3.9        +8.9
                              MONTHLY DATA
                        PERIOD  CURRENT PREVIOUS YEAR-AGO
                                          MONTH
 Industrial output (pct)  Jan      -1.8      n/a    +2.6
 Inflation (pct)          Feb      +0.8     +0.3    +0.8
 Unemployment (pct)       Dec       6.7      6.4     7.3
 Oil production (mnl T)   Jan       6.3      6.3     5.8
 Copper output ('000 T)   Jan      30.2     31.3    29.5
 Zinc output ('000 T)     Jan      31.3     31.2    31.0
 Copper output ('000 T)  Jan-Dec  398.0      ---   406.1
 Oil production (mln T)  Jan-Dec   70.7      ---    67.1
 Zinc output ('000 T)    Jan-Dec  365.6      ---   358.2
 Inflation (pct)         Jan-Dec   +9.5      ---   +18.8
 Industrial output (pct) Jan-Dec   +2.1      ---    +4.5
 Trade balance ($bln)    Jan-Dec  +33.29     ---  +15.00
 Exports ($bln)          Jan-Dec   71.18     ---   47.76
 Imports ($bln)          Jan-Dec   37.89     ---   32.76
                FORECASTS FOR 2009
 GDP growth (pct)                          2.0
 Annual inflation (pct)                   11.0
 Budget deficit (bln tenge/pct GDP) 571.4/-3.4
 Budget revenues (bln tenge)             2.861
 Budget spending (bln tenge)             3.432
 Industrial output (pct)                   2.0
 Oil output (mln T)                      76-79
 Grain harvest  (mln T, clean weight)*     n/a
 Unemployment (pct)                        8.0
 

 ANNUAL COMPARISONS
         2008  2007  2006  2005   2004  2003  2002  2001
  GDP        3.2  +8.9 +10.7  +9.7   +9.6  +9.3  +9.8 +13.5
  Ind output (pct)
         +2.1  +4.5   7.0  +4.6   10.1  +8.8  +9.8 +13.5
  Inflation (pct)
         +9.5 +18.8  +8.6  +7.6   +6.7  +6.8  +6.6  +6.4
  Yr-end M3 (trln tenge)
          6.27 4.61  3.72  2.07   1.64  1.00  0.77  0.57
  Yr end unemployment (pct)
          6.7   7.3   7.8   8.2    8.4   8.8   9.3  10.4
  Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight)
         15.6  20.1  16.5  13.8   12.4  14.8  15.9  15.9
  Oil output (mln T)
         70.7  67.1  65.0  61.9   59.4  51.5  47.2  40.1
  Copper output ('000 T)
        398.0 405.8 427.5 418.8  445.2 432.5 453.0 421.8
      Note: Oil output includes gas condensate
                KAZAKHSTAN'S LONG-TERM RATINGS
 S&P     (April 30, 2008)   BBB- negative outlook
 Moody's (June 9, 2006)   Baa2 stable outlook
 Fitch   (Nov 10, 2008)   BBB-  negative outlook
 (State Statistics Agency website www.stat.kz,
  Stock Exchange www.kase.kz/eng/
  Central Bank www.nationalbank.kz/?switch=eng)
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