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INDICATORS - Kazakhstan - March 18

Wed Mar 18, 2009 10:52am IST 

 March 18 (Reuters) - Kazakhstan's economic indicators based
on data provided by the State Statistics Agency, government
institutions, the central bank and exchanges:
 * updated today 
                        CURRENCY/INTEREST RATE
                                       LATEST   PREVIOUS
 *tenge/dollar AFINEX01 KZT=          150.58     150.38
  Cbank refinancing rate (pct)              9.50      10.00
                            MONEY
  Monetary base(trln tenge)     Feb 28  2.25  Jan 31   2.03
  Cbank gold/forex reserves ($bln)
                             Feb 28 19.63  Jan 31   18.28
  National fund ($bln)          Feb 28 22.32  Jan 31   27.96
  Money supply(M3) (trln tenge) Jan 31  5.97  Dec 31    6.27
                            QUARTERLY DATA
                  Jan-Dec'08  Jan-Sept'08 Jan-Dec'07
 GDP (trln tenge)  15.907      11.614      12.567
 GDP (pct)         +3.2        +3.9        +8.9
                             MONTHLY DATA
                        PERIOD  CURRENT PREVIOUS YEAR-AGO
                                         MONTH
Industrial output (pct) Jan-Feb   -3.2     -1.8    +3.4
Inflation (pct)          Feb      +0.8     +0.3    +0.8
Unemployment (pct)       Dec       6.7      6.4     7.3
Oil production (mln T)   Feb       5.7      6.3     5.6
Copper output ('000 T)   Feb      25.4     30.2    27.7
Zinc output ('000 T)     Feb      27.6     31.3    29.3
Oil production (mln T)  Jan-Feb   10.0      ---     9.3
Copper output ('000 T)  Jan-Feb   55.7      ---    57.4
Zinc output ('000 T)    Jan-Feb   58.8      ---    60.3
Inflation (pct)         Jan-Feb   +1.1     +0.3    +1.9
Trade balance ($bln)    Jan-Dec  +33.29     ---  +15.00
Exports ($bln)          Jan-Dec   71.18     ---   47.76
Imports ($bln)          Jan-Dec   37.89     ---   32.76
               FORECASTS FOR 2009
 GDP growth (pct)                          2.0
 Annual inflation (pct)                   11.0
 Budget deficit (bln tenge/pct GDP) 571.4/-3.4
 Budget revenues (bln tenge)             2.861
 Budget spending (bln tenge)             3.432
 Industrial output (pct)                   2.0
 Oil output (mln T)                      76-79
 Grain harvest  (mln T, clean weight)*     n/a
 Unemployment (pct)                        8.0
                   ANNUAL COMPARISONS
           2008  2007  2006  2005   2004  2003  2002  2001
  GDP          3.2  +8.9 +10.7  +9.7   +9.6  +9.3  +9.8 +13.5
  Ind output (pct)
           +2.1  +4.5   7.0  +4.6   10.1  +8.8  +9.8 +13.5
  Inflation (pct)
           +9.5 +18.8  +8.6  +7.6   +6.7  +6.8  +6.6  +6.4
  Yr-end M3 (trln tenge)
           6.27  4.61  3.72  2.07   1.64  1.00  0.77  0.57
  Yr end unemployment (pct)
           6.7   7.3   7.8   8.2    8.4   8.8   9.3   10.4
  Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight)
           15.6  20.1  16.5  13.8   12.4  14.8  15.9  15.9
  Oil output (mln T)
           70.7  67.1  65.0  61.9   59.4  51.5  47.2  40.1
  Copper output ('000 T)
          398.0 405.8 427.5 418.8  445.2 432.5 453.0 421.8
      Note: Oil output includes gas condensate
                KAZAKHSTAN'S LONG-TERM RATINGS
 S&P     (April 30, 2008)   BBB- negative outlook
 Moody's (June 9, 2006)   Baa2 stable outlook
 Fitch   (Nov 10, 2008)   BBB-  negative outlook
 (State Statistics Agency website www.stat.kz,
  Stock Exchange www.kase.kz/eng/
  Central Bank www.nationalbank.kz/?switch=eng)
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