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METALS-Shanghai, LME copper drift after soggy US data
SINGAPORE, Sept 28 (Reuters) - Copper prices in Shanghai and London drifted in early trade on Monday after disappointing U.S. durable goods and homes sales data were offset by a surprise fall in inventories.
FUNDAMENTALS
* Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange MCU3 rose $5 to $5,995 a tonne by 0104 GMT. When Shanghai closed on Friday, LME copper was trading around $5,967, when it touched a one-month low of $5,900.
* Shanghai's benchmark third month copper contract SCFc3 fell 50 yuan to 47,170 yuan. The more active January contract SCFc4 was flat at 47,140 yuan.
* Data on Friday showed U.S durable goods orders saw their biggest drop in seven months, and new home sales fell short of forecast.
* But fears that bullish fervour may have run ahead of the economic outlook were tempered by a fall in Shanghai copper stocks, which fell 5,559 tonnes to 98,689, their first decline since July. CU-STX-SGH
* Data last week showed China's refined copper imports fell in August, down by a quarter from July, but at just under 220,000 tonnes were still the seventh highest inflow ever.
* Imports are seen slowing to around 150,000 a month for the rest of the year, but the softening in prices is starting to awaken buyers' appetite for the metal.
* "Chinese buyers will be sniffing around for metal at these numbers and buying would really take off as we get closer to $5,000. If prices were to fall away from those levels restocking would take off very swiftly," a trader in Singapore said.
MARKETS NEWS
* U.S. stocks fell for a third straight day on Friday on disappointing housing and durable goods data, while Research In Motion's lackluster results dented optimism about technology spending. The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI fell 42.25 points, or 0.44 percent, to 9,665.19. [.N]
* The U.S. dollar fell to its lowest in nearly eight months against the yen in early Asian trade on Monday as Japanese repatriation before the end of the fiscal year picked up. The dollar fell to as low as 89.24 yen JPY=, its weakest since Feb. 5, when it dropped to 89.20 yen. [USD/]
* Crude oil rose on Monday as the dollar sunk to trade around $66.37 per barrel, adding to Friday's slight gains on tension around Iran's nuclear programme and improving consumer sentiment outweighed poor U.S. economic indicators. [O/R]
DATA/EVENTS
* The following data and events are expected on Monday:
- U.K. house prices for August (1000 GMT)
- Chicago Fed August national activity index (1230 GMT) RELATED NEWS > Zambia's Chambishi smelter processing Lumwana coppe[nLQ722718] > METALS-Copper off 1-mth lows in US data blizzard [nLP423484] > Codelco to invest $367 mln in El Teniente in 2010 [nN25500321] > UPDATE 2-Pan Pacific may keep copper output cuts [nT166257] > Regulation fears boost interest in physical commods[nLP426213] > Brazil August primary aluminum output down 9 pct [nN25406934] > Brazil July primary aluminum output down 10 pct [nN2599897] > India's NALCO to sell 270,000 T alumina-source [nBMA006006] > Zambia nickel mine to resume output next month [nLP469083] PRICES Base metals prices at 0104 GMT Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2008 Pct chg 09 LME Cu 5995.00 5.00 +0.08 3060.00 95.92 SHFE Cu* 47170.00 -50.00 -0.11 23840.00 97.86 LME Alum 1815.00 0.00 +0.00 1535.00 18.24 SHFE Alum* 14775.00 30.00 +0.20 11540.00 28.03 COMEX Cu** 273.10 0.00 +0.00 139.50 95.77 LME Zinc 1870.00 -10.00 -0.53 1208.00 54.80 SHFE Zinc 15065.00 15.00 +0.10 10120.00 48.86 LME Nickel 16850.00 -50.00 -0.30 11700.00 44.02 LME Lead 2190.00 5.00 +0.23 999.00 119.22 LME Tin 14375.00 -25.00 -0.17 10700.00 34.35 LME/Shanghai arb^ 718 Dollar/yuan 6.8273 \ 6.8283 ** 1st contract month for COMEX copper * 3rd contact month for SHFE aluminium, copper and zinc ^ LME 3-m copper in yuan, including 17 pct VAT, minus SHFE third month (Reporting by Nick Trevethan; Editing by Michael Urquhart)
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