JPMorgan says gold may jump to $2,500/oz by yr-end
BANGALORE (Reuters) – JPMorgan said on Monday it expects spot gold prices to climb to $2,500 an ounce or higher by year-end, on very high volatility, following the downgrade of U.S. debt.
"Before the downgrade, our view was that cash gold could average $1,800 per ounce by year end. This view will likely now prove to be too conservative," analysts Colin Fenton and Jonah Waxman said in a note to clients.
Spot gold was up 2.8 percent at $1,708.59 an ounce by 12:11 p.m. EDT (1611 GMT), having hit a record $1,715.01 earlier and marking all-time highs against sterling and euros .
While the analysts expect most commodity markets to convulse lower after the downgrade, those geared to the growth of emerging markets, infrastructure investment and inflation could stabilize relatively faster and outperform markets more anchored to developed economies and consumption.
"The macro backdrop better parallels mid-cycle pauses in 1995 and 1998, rather than end cycle 1981 or 2008, though the risk of a worse outcome is rising and should not be ignored," they said.
The analysts said they would want to own a basket of Brent crude oil, gasoil, gold, raw sugar, copper, corn, and wheat in the near-term, while underweighting or shorting a basket of WTI crude oil, RBOB gasoline, aluminum, zinc, and North American natural gas.
The revised gold price estimate puts JPMorgan way above the consensus view of $1,602.58 an ounce in a Reuters poll on July 22.
(Reporting by Antonita Madonna Devotta; Editing by Alden Bentley)
- Tweet this
- Share this
- Digg this
- In his native Alabama, Apple CEO's announcement he is gay prompts discomfort for some
- U.S. nurse defies Ebola quarantine with bike ride; negotiations fail
- Nurse defies Ebola quarantine with bike ride; negotiations fail |
- Islamic State fighters kill 220 Iraqis from tribe that opposed them
- UPDATE 3-Starbucks Americas sales disappoint on softer traffic
The BSE Sensex and Nifty on Friday rose to their second consecutive record highs. The 30-share Sensex surged as much as 1.5 percent to an all-time high of 27,759.01. The broader Nifty gained as much as 1.49 percent to a record of 8,291.65. Full Article
China's shadow banking sector growing rapidly, third largest in world - FSB. Full Article