• Most Popular
  • Most Shared

Reuters Showcase

India Growth

India Growth

India Q4 GDP seen slowing to 6 pct, says StanChart.  Full Article 

HP Job Cuts

HP Job Cuts

HP to lay off about 27,000, profit slides 31 pct.  Full Article 

Aiming To Crack China

Aiming To Crack China

India's Mahindra taps Korean arm to push brand in world's largest auto market  Full Article 

Profit from Facebook

Profit from Facebook

Morgan Stanley, others make $100 mln profit on Facebook trades, according to reports.  Full Article 

Factories Take a Hit

Factories Take a Hit

China May factory activity turns down, according to HSBC Flash PMI.  Full Article 

Buy, Sell or Hold?

Buy, Sell or Hold?

Stock recommendations from VantageTrade.  Full Coverage 

Reuters India Mobile

Reuters India Mobile

Get the latest news on the go. Visit Reuters India on your mobile device.  Full Coverage 

FOREX-Euro gains on Greek deal, but doubts remain

Stocks

   

Tue Feb 14, 2012 2:27am IST

* Euro advances on relief over Greek parliament vote
    * Hurdles remain ahead of euro zone finmins meeting
    * Concern lingers over voluntary private-sector involvement

    NEW YORK, Feb 13 (Reuters) - The euro gained against
the dollar on Monday, a day after Greece approved new
austerity measures, but worries about hurdles in the country's
bid to avoid a disorderly default limited gains and kept the
currency well off its session high as New York trading began to
close. 	
    The Greek parliament passed a package of wage, pension and
job cuts on Sunday, boosting hopes Athens would secure more
rescue funds from the European Union and International Monetary
Fund ahead of a March bond redemption. 	
    "The euro bounced back on Monday as Greece approved the
budget-cutting measures laid out by the troika - the European
Central Bank, the European Commission and the International
Monetary Fund," said David Song, currency analyst at DailyFX.
"But the relief rally may be short-lived as the fundamental
outlook for Europe remains bleak." 	
    The euro was up 0.1 percent at $1.3190, below a
session high of $1.3283 and just off the session low of $1.3188,
according to Reuters data.	
    The single currency faces resistance at last week's
two-month high and the 100-day simple moving average at $1.3327,
using Reuters data, while traders said a large option expiry at
$1.3300 was likely to restrict further intra-day gains.	
    Markets aren't the only skeptics. Greece must also convince
euro zone finance ministers, who meet on Wednesday.	
    The ministers are still requiring Greece to explain how 325
million euros of this year's total budget cuts will be achieved
before they agree to the 130 billion euro bailout. 	
    "We think that Greece is going to get their money by March
20, but we still think the euro's going to sell off," said David
Watt, senior currency strategist at RBC Capital Markets in
Toronto.	
    Volumes were light, Watt said. 	
    "Most people are just keeping their heads down, they're
doing things when they have to do it," Watt added.	
    	
    DENSITY OF SELL ORDERS	
    Commerzbank said their euro/dollar order book model showed a
greater density of sell orders at current levels, adding the
$1.3090 area was where the balance became more neutral, and any
downside move may run out of steam there. 	
     	
    Traders were also wary of pushing the euro higher because of
uncertainty over whether private creditors would agree to write
down the value of their Greek holdings. Doubts persisted whether
the necessary near-100 percent acceptance can be achieved
without triggering a credit default.	
    "Voluntary private sector participation is unlikely to be at
the levels the IMF and European authorities are looking for, and
this is one of the reasons for our bearish view on the euro,"
said Chris Walker, currency strategist at UBS in London. 	
    Even if a voluntary agreement is reached, a debt swap could
take three to four weeks to finalize, leaving a tight deadline
before Greece faces a March 20 bond redemption of nearly 15
billion euros.	
    The euro pared much of its early gains against the yen but
was still up 0.05 percent at 102.34 yen. The dollar
fell 0.1 percent against the yen to 77.56 yen. 	
    	
    BROKEN PROMISES	
    Germany's finance minister, Wolfgang Schaeuble, said in an
interview with German newspaper Welt am Sonntag that Greek
promises on austerity measures were no longer good enough
because so many vows had been broken. 	
    Still, with Greece effectively voting to stay in the euro
zone by passing the measure, it has provided short-term relief
to investors.	
    Fear of a major banking crisis has also subsided as the ECB
was expected to provide an unlimited amount of three-year loans
later this month after its first operation in December.	
    The bank's second offer of three-year funds to banks will
draw 500 billion euros of bids, a Reuters poll of traders
showed, topping the 400 billion predicted in the same poll last
week. 	
    But "as European policymakers take unprecedented steps to
save Greece, Portugal may be next in line to receive additional
assistance, and we may see the ECB continue to cast a dovish
tone for monetary policy as the push for more austerity dampens
the outlook for growth," said Song of DailyFX.
Comments (0)
This discussion is now closed. We welcome comments on our articles for a limited period after their publication.