Gold hits four-month low as crisis hurts euro

LONDON Wed May 9, 2012 5:50pm IST

A woman displays gold for sale at a gold shop in Hanoi August 9, 2011. REUTERS/Kham/Files

A woman displays gold for sale at a gold shop in Hanoi August 9, 2011.

Credit: Reuters/Kham/Files

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LONDON (Reuters) - Gold fell for a third day on Wednesday, touching a four-month low and all but wiping out its gains for 2012 as the escalation in the euro zone debt crisis prompted investors to favour dollars and German government bonds as safe havens.

Political disarray in Greece, a change in the French presidency and renewed concerns about the resilience of the Spanish banking sector sent the euro to a 15-week low against the dollar and propelled German bond futures to record highs.

Spot gold was down 1.2 percent on the day at $1,585.30 an ounce at 1145 GMT, having lost more than 3 percent so far this week in its largest weekly slide since mid-March.

"It's not as though the escalation of the political risk in Europe is doing anything positive for gold prices at all, and this is totally different to how we were between 2008 and 2010, when all the correlations were totally reversed and the weakening of the euro actually led to a strengthening in the gold price," Natixis head of commodity research Nic Brown said.

"This very much suggests that we are not getting demand for gold from European investors. The dynamic is purely from the impact of the crisis on to the FX market and from that directly on to the gold price," he said.

The gold price is on the verge of wiping out all the gains for 2012, with the year-to-date gain reduced to 1.4 percent from as much as 14 percent in late February.

This compares with an 8.4 percent advance in the S&P 500 .SPX and gains of nearly 10 percent in Chinese equities .SSEC and nearly 6.5 percent in crude oil in 2012.

FEARS GROW IN EUROPE

In Europe, radical leftist Alexis Tsipras was to meet the leaders of Greece's mainstream parties on Wednesday to try to form a coalition government, after demanding they first agree to tear up the country's EU/IMF bailout deal.

In Spain, Madrid will demand banks set aside another 35 billion euros against loans to builders, financial sources said, as it battles to rebuild confidence in a sector where huge losses have raised fears the country may need an international bailout.

Nervousness over the worsening situation in Spain sent yields on the benchmark 10-year government bond beyond the 6 percent threshold that many see as unsustainable in terms of servicing the country's debt burden, thereby further undermining the euro.

The drag of the single European currency on the gold price intensified on Wednesday.

Gold's correlation to the euro, the frequency with which these two assets move in tandem, strengthened to reach a one-week high of +41 percent, meaning gold was more likely to mirror movements in the euro than trade in the opposite direction.

Gold priced in euros fell by 0.9 percent on the day to a four-month low of 1,222.29 euros an ounce.

"Gold seems to be pegged to the euro and this is not going to rally in a hurry either. So all in all, I expect the market to trend lower and would look for a trading range for the next month of $1,525-$1,650," David Govett, head of precious metals at Marex-Spectron, said.

"Long term, events will catch up with other markets and the dollar will lose its temporary safe haven status, and at that point gold will start to shine again. But for now, it is in the doldrums and looks set to stay there for a while to come."

In other precious metals, palladium fell but still outperformed gold and silver following the release of data that showed robust year-on-year growth in car sales in China, the world's largest auto market.

Palladium is used primarily in catalytic converters to reduce climate-warming emissions, particularly in gasoline-powered vehicles, for which China is the largest consumer.

Car sales in China, the world's largest auto market, grew 12.5 pct in April from a year earlier to 1.28 million units, quickening from a 4.5 percent rise in March.

Spot palladium was on course for a seventh day of losses, matching a seven-day string of daily losses in August 2010, which in turn was the longest stretch of declines since September 2008, when the global financial crisis escalated.

The price was last down 0.5 percent on the day at $611.72 an ounce.

Silver touched its lowest level since the start of the year. Spot silver was down 2.0 percent on the day at $28.82 an ounce and was set for a weekly decline of 4.3 percent, the largest in a month.

Platinum was down 0.3 percent at $1,498.74 an ounce.

(Editing by Jane Baird)

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