Obama has slight edge over Romney day before election - Reuters/Ipsos poll

WASHINGTON Tue Nov 6, 2012 4:46am IST

A combination file photos show Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney (L) and U.S. President Barack Obama speaking at the Republican National Convention in Tampa, Florida on August 30, 2012 and at the Democratic National Convention in Charlotte, North Carolina, September 6, 2012 respectively. REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton , Jim Young/Files

A combination file photos show Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney (L) and U.S. President Barack Obama speaking at the Republican National Convention in Tampa, Florida on August 30, 2012 and at the Democratic National Convention in Charlotte, North Carolina, September 6, 2012 respectively.

Credit: Reuters/Shannon Stapleton , Jim Young/Files

Related Topics

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. President Barack Obama and Republican challenger Mitt Romney are essentially tied on the eve of Election Day, but the Democrat has a slight edge in some of the pivotal states where the election will be decided, according to Reuters/Ipsos polling released on Monday.

Nationally, 48 percent of likely voters surveyed said they supported Democrat Obama and 46 percent backed Romney, a former Massachusetts governor, polling showed.

In swing states, Obama maintained a 4-percentage point lead in Ohio and was ahead by slimmer margins in Virginia and Colorado, while Romney led by 1 percentage point in Florida.

The electoral college system and the way the state polls are going suggests that Obama could be headed toward re-election partly due to his lead in Ohio, Ipsos pollster Julia Clark said.

Both candidates made their final urgent pleas to voters on Monday in a closing sprint through battleground states, hoping to whip up strong turnout from supporters and to sway the few remaining undecided voters.

In likely the most important swing state of Ohio, Obama had support of 50 percent, while Romney was at 46 percent.

In Virginia, Obama held a slim lead of 48 percent to Romney's 46 percent and in Colorado, the Democrat was also at 48 percent, a nose ahead of Romney's 47 percent.

Romney, however, had a slight lead in the most populous swing state Florida, where 48 percent of likely voters sided with the Republican and 47 percent backed Obama.

A victory in U.S. presidential elections relies not on a popular vote count but reaching 270 electoral college votes, which are given to each state based on population size.

"Obama only needs a couple of these swing states," Clark said, "and the data suggests that he'll win one or two of them."

All of the polls' results are within the polls' credibility intervals, a tool used to account for statistical variation in Internet-based polling. Nationally, the credibility interval for likely voters was plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.

(Reporting by Alina Selyukh; Editing by Alistair Bell and Cynthia Osterman)

FILED UNDER:
Comments (0)
This discussion is now closed. We welcome comments on our articles for a limited period after their publication.

  • Most Popular
  • Most Shared

MH17 CRASH

REUTERS SHOWCASE

Suicide Attack

Suicide Attack

Three foreign advisers killed near Kabul airport.  Full Article 

Gaza Crisis

Gaza Crisis

Israel keeps up Gaza assaults, Kerry presses for truce.  Full Article 

Typhoon Matmo

Typhoon Matmo

Philippines raises storm alert level as Matmo churns toward Taiwan.  Full Article 

Inside Thailand

Inside Thailand

Thai junta leader to meet king over interim constitution.  Full Article 

Shooting Scars

Shooting Scars

Norway, survivors still bear scars of Breivik shootings.  Full Article 

Presidential Polls

Presidential Polls

Indonesian leader urges presidential election loser to concede.  Full Article 

Reuters India Mobile

Reuters India Mobile

Get the latest news on the go. Visit Reuters India on your mobile device.  Full Coverage