Record trade gap may force govt action: Credit Suisse
Reuters Market Eye - Credit Suisse says October trade deficit of $21 billion is India's worst on record and may prompt the government to impose measures to curb the deficit such as a further increase in import duties of gold.
Although seasonal factors typically narrow the trade deficit in November and December, Credit Suisse expects a gap of at least $15 billion in the last month of the year, the bank said in an email to clients.
Credit Suisse adds RBI is "unlikely to take too kindly to the record trade deficit."
October wholesale price index is due on Wednesday, with a Reuters poll of analysts expecting headline inflation to have accelerated 7.96 percent.
That would be well above the RBI's baseline scenario of WPI at 7.5 percent by March 2013 to justify potential rate cuts in the January-March quarter.
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India's battle with inflation and weak economic growth became more challenging on Thursday with a sharp spike in the cost of food driving the highest retail price rises on record and a worse-than-anticipated contraction in industrial production. Full Article