EMERGING MARKETS-Brazil stocks rebound from over 3-month low

Tue Nov 20, 2012 2:59am IST

Related Topics

 * Bovespa climbs back above key support level
 * Eletrobras tumbles in worst slide in over 15 years
 * Brazil's Bovespa up 1.9 pct, Chile IPSA edges up 0.15 pct

 (Adds comment, closing prices)
 By Danielle Assalve
 SAO PAULO, Nov 19 (Reuters) - Brazilian stocks rose on
Monday, bouncing back from a more than three-month low after two
weeks of steep losses, while shares in the country's Eletrobras
electricity firm  tumbled the most in more than 15 years.
 Brazil's Bovespa index rose 1.89 percent to
56,450.86 as global markets rose following signs of progress in
talks to resolve a U.S. fiscal crunch. The index climbed above
an important support at 56,200 that eroded last week after the
gauge shed more than 5 percent since Nov. 4.
 If investors do not enter the market on strong volume and
drive a rebound, stocks may be headed back to this year's low,
nearly 8 percent down from current levels, chart watchers said.
 "It is too early to say if the market could climb
consistently higher from here," said Illan Besen, an analyst at
brokerage Icap in Rio de Janeiro.
 Trading volume in Brazil has been thinner as many traders
have been taking a long holiday since last Thursday. The market
is closed Tuesday for a holiday.
 Global markets were encouraged by comments from U.S.
politicians on the chance for a deal to stave off the looming
"fiscal cliff," a series of tax and spending changes that will
start to come into effect in the new year.
 Foreign investors pulled 714 million reais ($345 million)
from stocks in Brazil this month, according to data through Nov.
14, the latest from exchange operator BM&FBovespa.
Foreigners have pulled out 3.14 billion reais so far this year. 
 "The market started to price in a chance of failure in the
negotiations on the fiscal cliff and the flow of capital to
risky assets was drying up," Besen said. "But now we see the
possibility of an agreement is being drawn out."
 The Bovespa's top commodities producers fueled gains. Oil
companies OGX and Petrobras rose 7.47
percent and 0.53 percent, respectively. Iron miner Vale
 added 1.21 percent.
 Shares in state-led electricity holding company Eletrobras
 shed 15.4 percent, dropping for a second session in a
row. The company warned of steeper losses, restructuring and an
end to certain dividend payments due to a government plan to cut
power rates.  
 Economists trimmed their forecasts for Brazil's 2013
economic growth for the first time since August, down to 3.96
percent, a weekly central bank survey showed. 
 Data last week showed weaker retail sales and the first drop
in five months in overall activity in Latin America's biggest
economy during September as the effect of recent government
stimulus measures appeared to flag.
 Chile's IPSA index rose 0.15 percent as shares in
SQM, the world's top lithium producer, rose 1.76
percent, while retailer Falabella lost 0.68 percent.
 Mexico's market was closed for a holiday.
 Latin American stock indexes at 2100 GMT:
 
 Stock indexes              Latest    Daily  Year-to
                                     pct     date
                                  change      pct
                                           change
 MSCI Latam               3,542.41     1.15    -2.78
                                          
 Brazil Bovespa          56,450.86     1.89    -0.53
                                          
 Mexico IPC              40,830.60   Closed    10.12
                                          
 Chile IPSA               4,191.12     0.15     0.33
                                          
 Chile IGPA              20,588.58     0.24     2.28
                                          
 Argentina MerVal         2,295.33     0.53    -6.79
                                          
 Colombia IGBC           14,152.88     0.42    11.74
                                          
 Peru IGRA               20,305.57      1.3     4.27
                                          
 Venezuela IBC          383,949.38     0.14   228.06
                                          
                                                 
 
($1 = 2.0770 Brazilian reals)

 (Additional reporting and writing by Michael O'Boyle in Mexico
City; Editing by Dan Grebler)
 
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