Domestic politics to drive rupee: HSBC

Fri Nov 23, 2012 12:56pm IST

A shopkeeper poses for a picture as he counts Indian currency notes at his shop in Jammu May 16, 2012. REUTERS/Mukesh Gupta/Files

A shopkeeper poses for a picture as he counts Indian currency notes at his shop in Jammu May 16, 2012.

Credit: Reuters/Mukesh Gupta/Files

Related Topics

Reuters Market Eye - Domestic politics will increasingly drive the fate of the rupee, much like the Japanese yen or the euro, HSBC says in a note on Friday.

HSBC says its base case scenario is for the government to maintain its reform agenda, but warns the parliamentary process is "fraught with downside risks."

"This debate will be a litmus test for the INR and the reform process," HSBC writes. "If we were to a see a reversal of some of these recent reforms, it would undoubtedly put increasing weakening pressure on the INR."

HSBC expects "strong upward pressure" on the USD/INR should the reform process falter, but for the pair to retrace its recent gains should the government gain traction with its policies.

FILED UNDER:
Comments (0)
This discussion is now closed. We welcome comments on our articles for a limited period after their publication.

  • Most Popular
  • Most Shared

REUTERS SHOWCASE

India-WTO Standoff

India-WTO Standoff

India threatens to derail WTO deal, prompts angry U.S. rebuke  Full Article 

Economic Pulse

Economic Pulse

New govt promises low and stable tax regime for economic revival.  Full Article 

IPO Probe Ends

IPO Probe Ends

Facebook says SEC's IPO probe ends, extending WhatsApp closing date  Full Article 

World Stocks

World Stocks

Goldman Sachs downgrades stocks to neutral for short term  Full Article 

Disappointing Results

Disappointing Results

Amazon's far-reaching ambitions, lack of profits, unnerve investors  Full Article 

Global Growth

Global Growth

IMF cuts outlook, warns of stagnation risk in rich nations  Full Article 

Market Eye

Market Eye

Nifty retreats from record highs on profit taking.  Full Article 

Waning Enthusiasm

Waning Enthusiasm

Markets' post-election enthusiasm lost on consumers.  Full Article 

Reuters India Mobile

Reuters India Mobile

Get the latest news on the go. Visit Reuters India on your mobile device.  Full Coverage