Reuters Market Eye - India in 2013 will be cacophonous; a mix of politics, impending elections, reforms and economic revival expectations, Citigroup said in report.
The investment bank expects Sensex to reach 20,800 by December 2013, based on premise of 9.6/12 percent earnings growth for FY13/FY14 and a valuation multiple of 14.5 times - a slight discount to its 15-16 times longer-term average.
Citi says the cyclical/risk trade that worked in 2012 should continue to be the preferred one for 2013, thereby maintaining its 'overweight' stance on banks, consumer discretionary, capital goods, IT stocks, while raising telecom to 'overweight' as well.
The bank remains 'underweight' on consumer staples, utilities, energy and materials.
Citi prefers Axis Bank (AXBK.NS), ICICI Bank (ICBK.NS), Infosys (INFY.NS), Maruti Suzuki India (MRTI.NS) and Bharti Airtel (BRTI.NS) among large-cap stocks, while its midcap top picks are Apollo Hospitals Enterprise (APLH.NS), Idea Cellular (IDEA.NS), Sun TV (SUTV.NS), LIC Housing Finance (LICH.NS) and Exide Industries (EXID.NS).
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With the Nifty breaching 8,500, sentiments are again bullish. But markets have been in the 8,200-8,600 range for some time and stocks across the board do not give the required confidence except for the liquidity factor. Many frontline stocks are not participating on the upside and the core sector is in a downtrend, writes Ambareesh Baliga. Column