Nikkei set for test of 8-mth highs above 10,000

Wed Dec 19, 2012 5:11am IST

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TOKYO, Dec 19 (Reuters) - Japan's Nikkei share average is
set to test eight-month highs above 10,000 on Wednesday as
investor appetite is boosted by signs of progress in the U.S.
fiscal talks and expectations of  aggressive monetary easing
under the new Japanese government.
    Market players said the Nikkei was likely to trade between
9,950 to 10,100 on Wednesday, after Nikkei futures in Chicago closed at 10,030, up 90 points from the close in Osaka
 of 9,940.
    If the Nikkei tops the 10,000 mark, it will be the
first time since April 4. Analysts said investors will likely
try to chase the Japanese market higher towards the end of the
year, with the 2012 high of 10,255.15 on March 27 a target.
    "The market is already in overbought territory, but
investors are increasingly being alarmed that there is a risk of
not having Japanese stocks in their portfolios," said Hiroichi
Nishi, general manager at SMBC Nikko Securities.
    "It's like, you are driving at 500 km per hour while the
speed limit is 100 km per hour, and even a cop cannot slow you
down." 
    On Tuesday, the Nikkei ended up 1.0 percent at 9,923.01,
having risen as high as 9,967.24 during trade. The broader Topix
 index gained 1.1 percent to 816.85.
     The gains took the Nikkei's 14-day relative strength index
to 80.64, well above 70 which is deemed overbought and often
indicates a possible near-term correction.
    In the United States, hopes are high a deal will be struck
to prevent the economy from going over the 'fiscal cliff', with
the White House confident of reaching an agreement.
 
    The Bank of Japan starts a two-day meeting on Wednesday
under intense political pressure to expand its asset-buying
programme aggressively to snap the world's third-biggest economy
out of its fourth recession since 2000.
    Shinzo Abe, who was elected as prime minister on Sunday,
called for the central bank to embark on "unlimited easing" and
set an inflation target of 2 percent.
    The Nikkei is up 17.4 percent this year, with 14.6 percent
of that gain coming in the last five weeks as the yen weakened
on the prospect of Abe's election.
    The dollar stood at 84.27 yen, not far off a 20-month
high of 84.55 set Monday.
> Wall St climbs on economy bets as it looks past cliff    
> Euro rises to 7-1/2-mth high on hopes of US budget deal 
> Prices fall on hopes of fiscal deal                     
> Gold  falls nearly 2 pct on hopes of US fiscal deal    
> Oil rises on 'fiscal cliff' optimism, refinery issues   
    STOCKS TO WATCH
    --Toyota Motor Corp 
    Toyota will keep its global output target for 2013 nearly
unchanged from this year at 9.9 million vehicles despite a
production cut at home, the Nikkei reported. 
    Separately, it has agreed to a record fine of $17.35 million
for failing to report a safety defect to the U.S. government in
a timely manner, but maintained it has done nothing wrong.
 
     
    --Kirin Holdings Co 
    Kirin is expected to report group operating profit of around
150 billion yen for the year ending December, the Nikkei
reported.
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