India may avoid drought for fourth straight year: expert

NEW DELHI Thu Mar 7, 2013 4:38pm IST

1 of 2. A couple stands under an umbrella on a platform in a park as it rains in New Delhi August 24, 2012.

Credit: Reuters/Adnan Abidi

Related Topics

NEW DELHI (Reuters) - India may avoid a drought for a fourth straight year as the El Nino weather system looks unlikely to impact monsoon rains, a leading forecaster said on Thursday, promising yet another bumper grains output in the Asia's third-biggest economy.

El Nino was a factor in India's last severe drought in 2009 when the country had to import sugar, pushing global prices to 30-year highs.

It is associated with warming of the sea's surface in the Pacific Ocean and can cause widespread drought in the Indian sub-continent that results in lower grains output for one of the world's biggest food consumers and producers.

"El Nino is now at a neutral phase and a review about its emergence with associated impact over the Indian sub-continent will be done during the second half of April," D.S. Pai, the lead forecaster of the Indian weather office, told Reuters.

The World Meteorological Organisation will review the chance of El Nino's emergence for this year's monsoon at a regional summit in Kathmandu, where Pai will present the Indian weather office's maiden perspective about the annual summer rains.

"If this year's monsoon is fine, then we can produce another record year of food grain production," Farm Minister Sharad Pawar had said on Wednesday at a conference.

Last year, the monsoon rains avoided a widespread drought even though the first half of the June-September rainy season recorded deficient rainfall.

Rains below 90 percent of a 50-year average are termed deficient by the weather office.

(Editing by Jo Winterbottom)

FILED UNDER:
Comments (0)
This discussion is now closed. We welcome comments on our articles for a limited period after their publication.

  • Most Popular
  • Most Shared

REUTERS SHOWCASE

Coal Block Allocation

Coal Block Allocation

Government urges Supreme Court to not cancel some 'illegal' coal mines  Full Article 

Modi in Japan

Modi in Japan

Japan and India agree to boost strategic ties at summit  Full Article 

Basel III Norms

Basel III Norms

RBI amends Basel III guidelines for banks  Full Article 

HSBC PMI

HSBC PMI

Factory activity expands at slower clip in August.  Full Article 

Current Account

Current Account

Balance of payments surplus for third straight quarter  Full Article 

India Infrastructure

India Infrastructure

RBI rule handicaps India's infrastructure hopes  Full Article 

Book Talk

Book Talk

Reema Abbasi and a glimpse of Pakistan’s Hindu past  Full Article 

China Economy

China Economy

Retreat in China's PMIs heightens calls for policy easing.  Full Article 

Managing Share Sales

Managing Share Sales

Govt seeks bids from banks to manage PFC, REC share sales   Full Article 

Reuters India Mobile

Reuters India Mobile

Get the latest news on the go. Visit Reuters India on your mobile device.  Full Coverage