(The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are her own.)
By Agnes T. Crane
NEW YORK, April 26 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Apple (AAPL.O) may need to make its iOUs as desirable as iPhones. Right now, money managers are gaga for the company's bonds even before they have made their market debut. But the scale of issuance that could come from the tech giant is on a par with huge borrowers like banks. To be sustainable, that would call for some of Apple's magic.
Debt from cash-rich U.S. technology companies used to be exceedingly rare. But low interest rates have changed that. Borrowing cheaply is a better financial bet than repatriating cash earned overseas and paying tax on it. Microsoft (MSFT.O) tested the waters in 2009 and has raised nearly $15 billion since then, according to Thomson Reuters data.
But Apple could be looking to borrow more than that every year. The company recently expanded its budget for dividends and stock buybacks to $100 billion by the end of 2015. Assuming $45 billion of its cash pile is onshore – a figure consistent with what the company has said – and ignoring new inflows, that means borrowing $55 billion in less than three years, according to research firm CreditSights, or nearly $20 billion a year.
That would put Apple in the same issuance ballpark as large banks like Bank of America (BAC.N) and Citigroup (C.N) and other big financial firms. And many of those are mostly refinancing old debt. The iPhone maker would be asking more of investors since it would be looking for new money each time.
Most companies would have to pay lenders a premium to borrow so much. Apple is different, and not just because fixed income fund managers may want to feel like the cool kids for once. A company with lots of cash, even if it's trapped overseas, is a godsend for those who simply don't want to worry about default. Apple has garnered a AA-plus rating from Standard & Poor's, one notch down from AAA. Microsoft, a rare top-rated company, will pay less than 2.5 percent interest on the $1 billion of 10-year bonds it sold on Thursday.
If its bonds keep on marching to market, however, Apple's novelty as a borrower will wear off and the company will need to keep investors engaged. Innovation could help. Just as Apple visionary Steve Jobs seemingly knew what people wanted before they did, the company may be able to use its brand and perhaps innovative structures to create a category of bonds investors suddenly can't do without. If Apple manages it right, iOUs could be the next big thing.
SIGN UP FOR BREAKINGVIEWS EMAIL ALERTS: www.breakingviews.com/TOPNewsSubscription
- Apple said on April 23 that it plans to borrow money to help fund its $100 billion program to return capital to shareholders. Credit research firm CreditSights estimates the company could need to sell between $15 billion and $20 billion per year for three years, since roughly two-thirds of its $150 billion of cash is overseas. The U.S. levies a tax rate of up to 35 percent on repatriated cash.
- Apple release: link.reuters.com/fyt67t
- IFR story: Apple debt issuance would dwarf that of tech rivals [ID:nL2N0DB1X0]
Just don't have a crisis [ID:nL2N0DA1XD]
The Apple pie [ID:nL1N0BYF6I]
Bitten Apple [ID:nL1N0BP2JI]
- For previous columns by the author, Reuters customers can click on [CRANE/]
(Editing by Richard Beales and Emily Plucinak)
((email@example.com)(Reuters messaging firstname.lastname@example.org)) Keywords: BREAKINGVIEWS APPLE/DEBT
(C) Reuters 2012. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of Reuters content, including by caching, framing, or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Reuters. Reuters and the Reuters sphere logo are registered trademarks and trademarks of the Reuters group of companies around the world.