INDICATORS - Kazakhstan - June 2
June 2 (Reuters) - Kazakhstan's economic indicators based on data provided by the State Statistics Agency, government institutions, the central bank and exchanges:
*=updated today
CURRENCY/INTEREST RATE
LATEST PREVIOUS *tenge/dollar AFINEX01 KZT= 120.65 120.57
Cbank refinancing rate (pct) 11.00 9.00
MONEY Monetary base(trln tenge) May 15 1.68 April 30 1.53 Cbank gold/forex reserves ($bln)
May 15 20.97 April 30 20.72 National fund ($bln) May 15 23.68 April 30 23.30 Money supply(M3) (trln tenge)April 1 4.82 March 1 4.65
QUARTERLY DATA
Jan-March'08 Jan-Dec'07 Jan-March'07
GDP (trln tenge) 3.144 12.567 2.532
GDP (pct) +6.0 +8.5 +10.6
MONTHLY DATA
PERIOD CURRENT PREVIOUS YEAR-AGO
MONTH
Industrial output (pct) April -3.0 +10.0 -1.8
*Inflation (pct) May +1.0 +0.9 +0.7
Unemployment (pct) March 6.8 7.2 n/a
Oil production (mnl T) April 5.9 6.3 5.7
Copper output ('000 T) April 29.4 31.0 36.0
Zinc output ('000 T) April 30.2 31.7 31.1
Copper output ('000 T) Jan-April 117.8 --- 142.8
Oil production (mln T) Jan-April 23.7 --- 22.3
Zinc output ('000 T) Jan-April 122.3 --- 125.5
*Inflation (pct) Jan-May +4.5 --- +3.8
Industrial output (pct)Jan-April +3.5 --- +9.5
Trade balance ($bln) Jan-March +8.69 --- +3.58
Exports ($bln) Jan-March 15.78 --- 10.05
Imports ($bln) Jan-March 7.09 --- 6.47
FORECASTS FOR 2008
GDP (pct) 5-7
Annual inflation (pct)* 10.0
Annual inflation (pct)** 9.9
Budget deficit (bln tenge/pct GDP) -210.5/1.4
Budget revenues (bln tenge) 2.694
Budget spending (bln tenge) 2.905
Industrial output (pct) 9.6
Oil output (mln T) 70
Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight) 15.9
* - government
** - National Bank
ANNUAL COMPARISONS
2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 GDP +8.5 +10.6 +9.4 +9.6 +9.3 +9.8 +13.5 +9.8 Ind output (pct)
+4.5 7.0 +4.6 10.1 +8.8 +9.8 +13.5 +14.6 Inflation (pct)
+10.8 +8.6 +7.6 +6.7 +6.8 +6.6 +6.4 +9.8 Yr-end M3 (trln tenge)
4.61 3.72 2.07 1.64 1.00 0.77 0.57 0.40 Yr end unemployment (pct)
7.3 7.8 8.2 8.4 8.8 9.3 10.4 12.8 Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight)
20.1 16.5 13.8 12.4 14.8 15.9 15.9 11.6 Oil output (mln T)
67.5 65.0 61.9 59.4 51.5 47.2 40.1 35.3
Copper output ('000 T)
405.8 427.5 418.8 445.2 432.5 453.0 421.8 394.7
Note: Oil output includes gas condensate
KAZAKHSTAN'S LONG-TERM RATINGS
S&P (April 30, 2008) BBB- negative outlook
Moody's (June 9, 2006) Baa2 stable outlook
Fitch (Dec 17, 2007) BBB negative outlook
(State Statistics Agency website www.stat.kz,
Stock Exchange www.kase.kz/eng/
Central Bank www.nationalbank.kz/?switch=eng)
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