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INDICATORS - Kazakhstan - June 13

Fri Jun 13, 2008 11:56am IST
 
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   June 13 (Reuters) - Kazakhstan's economic indicators
based on data provided by the State Statistics Agency,
government institutions, the central bank and exchanges:
 *=updated today
                         CURRENCY/INTEREST RATE
                                       LATEST   PREVIOUS
  *tenge/dollar AFINEX01 KZT=         120.67     120.75
Cbank refinancing rate (pct)            11.00       9.00
                            MONEY
  Monetary base(trln tenge)     May 30  1.70    May 15  1.68
  Cbank gold/forex reserves ($bln)
                             May 30 21.47    May 15 20.97
  National fund ($bln)          May 30 24.05    May 15 23.68
  Money supply(M3) (trln tenge)April 1  4.82  March 1   4.65
                             QUARTERLY DATA
                  Jan-March'08  Jan-Dec'07 Jan-March'07
 GDP (trln tenge)     3.144      12.567       2.532
 GDP (pct)           +6.0        +8.5       +10.6
                              MONTHLY DATA
                        PERIOD  CURRENT PREVIOUS YEAR-AGO
                                          MONTH
 Industrial output (pct)  May      -1.0     -3.0    -3.2
 Inflation (pct)          May      +1.0     +0.9    +0.7
 Unemployment (pct)       March     6.8      7.2     n/a
 Oil production (mnl T)   April     5.9      6.3     5.7
 Copper output ('000 T)   April    29.4     31.0    36.0
 Zinc output ('000 T)     April    30.2     31.7    31.1
 Copper output ('000 T) Jan-April 117.8      ---   142.8
 Oil production (mln T) Jan-April  23.7      ---    22.3
 Zinc output ('000 T)   Jan-April 122.3      ---   125.5
 Inflation (pct)        Jan-May    +4.5      ---    +3.8
 Industrial output (pct)Jan-May    +3.8      ---    +8.1
 Trade balance ($bln)   Jan-March  +8.69     ---   +3.58
 Exports ($bln)         Jan-March  15.78     ---   10.05
 Imports ($bln)         Jan-March   7.09     ---    6.47
                FORECASTS FOR 2008
 GDP (pct)                                  5.3
 Annual inflation (pct)*                  10.0
 Annual inflation (pct)**                  9.9
 Budget deficit (bln tenge/pct GDP) -334.4/2.1
 Budget revenues (bln tenge)             2.729
 Budget spending (bln tenge)             3.064
 Industrial output (pct)                   9.6
 Oil output (mln T)                       67.6
 Grain harvest  (mln T, clean weight)     15.9
 * - government
 ** - National Bank
 
 ANNUAL COMPARISONS
          2007  2006  2005   2004  2003  2002  2001  2000
  GDP       +8.7  +10.7  +9.4   +9.6  +9.3  +9.8 +13.5  +9.8
  Ind output (pct)
         +4.5    7.0  +4.6   10.1  +8.8  +9.8 +13.5 +14.6
  Inflation (pct)
        +10.8  +8.6  +7.6   +6.7  +6.8  +6.6  +6.4  +9.8
  Yr-end M3 (trln tenge)
         4.61  3.72  2.07   1.64  1.00  0.77  0.57  0.40
  Yr end unemployment (pct)
          7.3  7.8   8.2    8.4   8.8   9.3  10.4  12.8
  Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight)
        20.1  16.5  13.8   12.4  14.8  15.9  15.9  11.6
  Oil output (mln T)
        67.5  65.0  61.9   59.4  51.5  47.2  40.1  35.3
  Copper output ('000 T)
       405.8 427.5 418.8  445.2 432.5 453.0 421.8 394.7
      Note: Oil output includes gas condensate
                KAZAKHSTAN'S LONG-TERM RATINGS
 S&P     (April 30, 2008)   BBB- negative outlook
 Moody's (June 9, 2006)   Baa2 stable outlook
 Fitch   (Dec 17, 2007)   BBB  negative outlook
 (State Statistics Agency website www.stat.kz,
  Stock Exchange www.kase.kz/eng/
  Central Bank www.nationalbank.kz/?switch=eng)

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