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INDICATORS - Kazakhstan - May 15

Thu May 15, 2008 10:57am IST
 
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 May 15 (Reuters) - Kazakhstan's economic indicators
based on data provided by the State Statistics Agency,
government institutions, the central bank and exchanges:
 *=updated today
                         CURRENCY/INTEREST RATE
                                       LATEST   PREVIOUS
  *tenge/dollar AFINEX01 KZT=         120.74     120.57
Cbank refinancing rate (pct)            11.00       9.00
                            MONEY
  Monetary base(trln tenge)   April 30  1.53  April 15  1.50
  Cbank gold/forex reserves ($bln)
                           April 30 20.72  April 15 19.78
  National fund ($bln)        April 30 23.30  April 15 23.35
 *Money supply(M3) (trln tenge)April 1  4.82  March 1   4.65
                             QUARTERLY DATA
                  Jan-March'08  Jan-Dec'07 Jan-March'07
 GDP (trln tenge)     n/a        12.567       2.532
 GDP (pct)           +5.3        +8.5       +10.5
                              MONTHLY DATA
                        PERIOD  CURRENT PREVIOUS YEAR-AGO
                                          MONTH
 Industrial output (pct)  April    -3.0    +10.0    -1.8
 Inflation (pct)          April    +0.9     +0.6    +0.5
 Unemployment (pct)        March    6.8      7.2     n/a
 Oil production (mnl T)    March    6.3      5.6     5.7
 Copper output ('000 T)    March   31.0     27.9    40.9
 Zinc output ('000 T)      March   31.7     29.4    32.4
 Copper output ('000 T)  Jan-March 88.4      ---   106.8
 Oil production (mln T)  Jan-March 17.8      ---    16.5
 Zinc output ('000 T)    Jan-March 92.0      ---    94.4
 Inflation (pct)         Jan-April +3.4      ---    +3.1
 Industrial output (pct) Jan-April +3.5      ---    +9.5
 Trade balance ($bln)    Jan-March +5.69     ---   +2.20
 Exports ($bln)          Jan-March 10.29     ---    6.35
 Imports ($bln)          Jan-March  4.60     ---    4.15
                FORECASTS FOR 2008
 GDP (pct)                                 5-7
 Annual inflation (pct)*                  10.0
 Annual inflation (pct)**                  9.9
 Budget deficit (bln tenge/pct GDP) -210.5/1.4
 Budget revenues (bln tenge)             2.694
 Budget spending (bln tenge)             2.905
 Industrial output (pct)                   9.6
 Oil output (mln T)                         70
 Grain harvest  (mln T, clean weight)      n/a
 * - government
 ** - National Bank
 
 ANNUAL COMPARISONS
          2007  2006  2005   2004  2003  2002  2001  2000
  GDP       +8.5  +10.6  +9.4   +9.6  +9.3  +9.8 +13.5  +9.8
  Ind output (pct)
         +4.5    7.0  +4.6   10.1  +8.8  +9.8 +13.5 +14.6
  Inflation (pct)
        +10.8  +8.6  +7.6   +6.7  +6.8  +6.6  +6.4  +9.8
  Yr-end M3 (trln tenge)
         4.61  3.72  2.07   1.64  1.00  0.77  0.57  0.40
  Yr end unemployment (pct)
          7.3  7.8   8.2    8.4   8.8   9.3  10.4  12.8
  Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight)
        20.1  16.5  13.8   12.4  14.8  15.9  15.9  11.6
  Oil output (mln T)
        67.5  65.0  61.9   59.4  51.5  47.2  40.1  35.3
  Copper output ('000 T)
       405.8 427.5 418.8  445.2 432.5 453.0 421.8 394.7
      Note: Oil output includes gas condensate
                KAZAKHSTAN'S LONG-TERM RATINGS
 S&P     (April 30, 2008)   BBB- negative outlook
 Moody's (June 9, 2006)   Baa2 stable outlook
 Fitch   (Dec 17, 2007)   BBB  negative outlook
 (State Statistics Agency website www.stat.kz,
  Stock Exchange www.kase.kz/eng/
  Central Bank www.nationalbank.kz/?switch=eng)

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