INDICATORS - Kazakhstan - May 15
May 15 (Reuters) - Kazakhstan's economic indicators based on data provided by the State Statistics Agency, government institutions, the central bank and exchanges:
*=updated today
CURRENCY/INTEREST RATE
LATEST PREVIOUS *tenge/dollar AFINEX01 KZT= 120.74 120.57
Cbank refinancing rate (pct) 11.00 9.00
MONEY Monetary base(trln tenge) April 30 1.53 April 15 1.50 Cbank gold/forex reserves ($bln)
April 30 20.72 April 15 19.78 National fund ($bln) April 30 23.30 April 15 23.35 *Money supply(M3) (trln tenge)April 1 4.82 March 1 4.65
QUARTERLY DATA
Jan-March'08 Jan-Dec'07 Jan-March'07
GDP (trln tenge) n/a 12.567 2.532
GDP (pct) +5.3 +8.5 +10.5
MONTHLY DATA
PERIOD CURRENT PREVIOUS YEAR-AGO
MONTH
Industrial output (pct) April -3.0 +10.0 -1.8
Inflation (pct) April +0.9 +0.6 +0.5
Unemployment (pct) March 6.8 7.2 n/a
Oil production (mnl T) March 6.3 5.6 5.7
Copper output ('000 T) March 31.0 27.9 40.9
Zinc output ('000 T) March 31.7 29.4 32.4
Copper output ('000 T) Jan-March 88.4 --- 106.8
Oil production (mln T) Jan-March 17.8 --- 16.5
Zinc output ('000 T) Jan-March 92.0 --- 94.4
Inflation (pct) Jan-April +3.4 --- +3.1
Industrial output (pct) Jan-April +3.5 --- +9.5
Trade balance ($bln) Jan-March +5.69 --- +2.20
Exports ($bln) Jan-March 10.29 --- 6.35
Imports ($bln) Jan-March 4.60 --- 4.15
FORECASTS FOR 2008
GDP (pct) 5-7
Annual inflation (pct)* 10.0
Annual inflation (pct)** 9.9
Budget deficit (bln tenge/pct GDP) -210.5/1.4
Budget revenues (bln tenge) 2.694
Budget spending (bln tenge) 2.905
Industrial output (pct) 9.6
Oil output (mln T) 70
Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight) n/a
* - government
** - National Bank
ANNUAL COMPARISONS
2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 GDP +8.5 +10.6 +9.4 +9.6 +9.3 +9.8 +13.5 +9.8 Ind output (pct)
+4.5 7.0 +4.6 10.1 +8.8 +9.8 +13.5 +14.6 Inflation (pct)
+10.8 +8.6 +7.6 +6.7 +6.8 +6.6 +6.4 +9.8 Yr-end M3 (trln tenge)
4.61 3.72 2.07 1.64 1.00 0.77 0.57 0.40 Yr end unemployment (pct)
7.3 7.8 8.2 8.4 8.8 9.3 10.4 12.8 Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight)
20.1 16.5 13.8 12.4 14.8 15.9 15.9 11.6 Oil output (mln T)
67.5 65.0 61.9 59.4 51.5 47.2 40.1 35.3
Copper output ('000 T)
405.8 427.5 418.8 445.2 432.5 453.0 421.8 394.7
Note: Oil output includes gas condensate
KAZAKHSTAN'S LONG-TERM RATINGS
S&P (April 30, 2008) BBB- negative outlook
Moody's (June 9, 2006) Baa2 stable outlook
Fitch (Dec 17, 2007) BBB negative outlook
(State Statistics Agency website www.stat.kz,
Stock Exchange www.kase.kz/eng/
Central Bank www.nationalbank.kz/?switch=eng)
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