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INDICATORS - Kazakhstan - April 16

Wed Apr 16, 2008 11:20am IST
 
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 April 16 (Reuters) - Kazakhstan's economic indicators
based on data provided by the State Statistics Agency,
government institutions, the central bank and exchanges:
 *=updated today
                         CURRENCY/INTEREST RATE
                                       LATEST   PREVIOUS
  *tenge/dollar AFINEX01 KZT=         120.26     120.32
Cbank refinancing rate (pct)            11.00       9.00
                            MONEY
  Monetary base(trln tenge)   March 31  1.58  March 14  1.57
  Cbank gold/forex reserves ($bln)
                           March 31 19.26  March 14 19.47
  National fund ($bln)        March 31 23.12  March 14 22.84
  Money supply(M3) (trln tenge)  Feb 1  4.60  Jan 1     4.61
                             QUARTERLY DATA
                   Jan-March'08  Jan-Dec'07 J an-March'07
 GDP (trln tenge)    n/a          12.567       2.532
 GDP (pct)          +5.3          +8.5       +10.5
                              MONTHLY DATA
                        PERIOD  CURRENT PREVIOUS YEAR-AGO
                                          MONTH
 Industrial output (pct)  March   +10.0     +4.3   +10.2
 Inflation (pct)          March    +0.6     +0.8    +0.7
 Unemployment (pct)       March     6.8      7.2     n/a
 Oil production (mnl T)    Feb      5.6      5.8     5.3
 Copper output ('000 T)    Feb     27.9     29.5    32.1
 Zinc output ('000 T)      Feb     29.4     31.0    29.5
 Copper output ('000 T)  Jan-Feb   57.4      ---    65.9
 Oil production (mln T)  Jan-Feb   11.5      ---    10.8
 Zinc output ('000 T)    Jan-Feb   60.4      ---    62.0
 Inflation (pct)         Jan-March +2.5      ---    +2.6
 Industrial output (pct) Jan-March +3.7      ---    +9.6
 Trade balance ($bln)    Jan-Feb   +2.88     ---   +1.51
 Exports ($bln)          Jan-Feb    5.18     ---    3.65
 Imports ($bln)          Jan-Feb    2.30     ---    2.14
                FORECASTS FOR 2008
 GDP (pct)                                 5-7
 Annual inflation (pct)*                  10.0
 Annual inflation (pct)**                  9.9
 Budget deficit (bln tenge/pct GDP) -210.5/1.4
 Budget revenues (bln tenge)             2.694
 Budget spending (bln tenge)             2.905
 Industrial output (pct)                   9.6
 Oil output (mln T)                         70
 Grain harvest  (mln T, clean weight)      n/a
 * - government
 ** - National Bank
 
 ANNUAL COMPARISONS
          2007  2006  2005   2004  2003  2002  2001  2000
  GDP       +8.5  +10.6  +9.4   +9.6  +9.3  +9.8 +13.5  +9.8
  Ind output (pct)
         +4.5    7.0  +4.6   10.1  +8.8  +9.8 +13.5 +14.6
  Inflation (pct)
        +10.8  +8.6  +7.6   +6.7  +6.8  +6.6  +6.4  +9.8
  Yr-end M3 (trln tenge)
         4.61  3.72  2.07   1.64  1.00  0.77  0.57  0.40
  Yr end unemployment (pct)
          7.3  7.8   8.2    8.4   8.8   9.3  10.4  12.8
  Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight)
        20.1  16.5  13.8   12.4  14.8  15.9  15.9  11.6
  Oil output (mln T)
        67.5  65.0  61.9   59.4  51.5  47.2  40.1  35.3
  Copper output ('000 T)
       405.8 427.5 418.8  445.2 432.5 453.0 421.8 394.7
      Note: Oil output includes gas condensate
                KAZAKHSTAN'S LONG-TERM RATINGS
 S&P     (Oct  8, 2007)   BBB- stable outlook
 Moody's (June 9, 2006)   Baa2 stable outlook
 Fitch   (Dec 17, 2007)   BBB  negative outlook
 (State Statistics Agency website www.stat.kz,
  Stock Exchange www.kase.kz/eng/
  Central Bank www.nationalbank.kz/?switch=eng)

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