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INDICATORS - Kazakhstan - September 4

Thu Sep 4, 2008 12:08pm IST
 
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   Sept 4 (Reuters) - Kazakhstan's economic indicators based on
data provided by the State Statistics Agency, government
institutions, the central bank and exchanges:
 *=updated today
                         CURRENCY/INTEREST RATE
                                       LATEST   PREVIOUS
  *tenge/dollar AFINEX01 KZT=         119.69     119.77
  Cbank refinancing rate (pct)             10.50      11.00
                            MONEY
  Monetary base(trln tenge)     Aug 15  1.73   July 31  1.67
  Cbank gold/forex reserves ($bln)
                             Aug 15 20.51   July 31 21.03
  National fund ($bln)          Aug 15 26.10   July 31 25.97
  Money supply(M3) (trln tenge)July  1  5.20   June  1  5.11
                             QUARTERLY DATA
                  Jan-June'08  Jan-March'08 Jan-June'07
 GDP (trln tenge)    6.949         3.144       5.495
 GDP (pct)          +5.4          +6.0       +10.2
                              MONTHLY DATA
                        PERIOD  CURRENT PREVIOUS YEAR-AGO
                                          MONTH
 Industrial output (pct)  July     +0.1     -3.8    +4.5
 Inflation (pct)           Aug     +0.8     +0.9    +0.7
 Unemployment (pct)       July      6.3      n/a     n/a
 Oil production (mnl T)   July      5.6      5.9     5.7
 Copper output ('000 T)   July     32.0     34.6    31.1
 Zinc output ('000 T)     July     30.8     30.1    27.2
 Copper output ('000 T) Jan-July  216.4      ---   239.1
 Oil production (mln T) Jan-July   41.2      ---    38.9
 Zinc output ('000 T)   Jan-July  214.3      ---   213.1
 Inflation (pct)        Jan-Aug    +7.5      ---    +6.3
 Industrial output (pct)Jan-July   +3.3      ---    +5.6
 Trade balance ($bln)   Jan-June  +17.96     ---   +7.01
 Exports ($bln)         Jan-June   35.05     ---   21.81
 Imports ($bln)         Jan-June   17.09     ---   14.80
                FORECASTS FOR 2008
 GDP (pct)                                  5.3
 Annual inflation (pct)*                  10.0
 Annual inflation (pct)**                  9.9
 Budget deficit (bln tenge/pct GDP) -334.4/2.1
 Budget revenues (bln tenge)             2.729
 Budget spending (bln tenge)             3.064
 Industrial output (pct)                   9.6
 Oil output (mln T)                       70.0
 Grain harvest  (mln T, clean weight)    16-17
 * - government
 ** - National Bank
 
 ANNUAL COMPARISONS
          2007  2006  2005   2004  2003  2002  2001  2000
  GDP       +8.7  +10.7  +9.7   +9.6  +9.3  +9.8 +13.5  +9.8
  Ind output (pct)
         +4.5    7.0  +4.6   10.1  +8.8  +9.8 +13.5 +14.6
  Inflation (pct)
        +10.8  +8.6  +7.6   +6.7  +6.8  +6.6  +6.4  +9.8
  Yr-end M3 (trln tenge)
         4.61  3.72  2.07   1.64  1.00  0.77  0.57  0.40
  Yr end unemployment (pct)
          7.3  7.8   8.2    8.4   8.8   9.3  10.4  12.8
  Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight)
        20.1  16.5  13.8   12.4  14.8  15.9  15.9  11.6
  Oil output (mln T)
        67.5  65.0  61.9   59.4  51.5  47.2  40.1  35.3
  Copper output ('000 T)
       405.8 427.5 418.8  445.2 432.5 453.0 421.8 394.7
      Note: Oil output includes gas condensate
                KAZAKHSTAN'S LONG-TERM RATINGS
 S&P     (April 30, 2008)   BBB- negative outlook
 Moody's (June 9, 2006)   Baa2 stable outlook
 Fitch   (Dec 17, 2007)   BBB  negative outlook
 (State Statistics Agency website www.stat.kz,
  Stock Exchange www.kase.kz/eng/
  Central Bank www.nationalbank.kz/?switch=eng)

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