INDICATORS - Kazakhstan - September 4
Sept 4 (Reuters) - Kazakhstan's economic indicators based on data provided by the State Statistics Agency, government institutions, the central bank and exchanges:
*=updated today
CURRENCY/INTEREST RATE
LATEST PREVIOUS *tenge/dollar AFINEX01 KZT= 119.69 119.77 Cbank refinancing rate (pct) 10.50 11.00
MONEY Monetary base(trln tenge) Aug 15 1.73 July 31 1.67 Cbank gold/forex reserves ($bln)
Aug 15 20.51 July 31 21.03 National fund ($bln) Aug 15 26.10 July 31 25.97 Money supply(M3) (trln tenge)July 1 5.20 June 1 5.11
QUARTERLY DATA
Jan-June'08 Jan-March'08 Jan-June'07
GDP (trln tenge) 6.949 3.144 5.495
GDP (pct) +5.4 +6.0 +10.2
MONTHLY DATA
PERIOD CURRENT PREVIOUS YEAR-AGO
MONTH
Industrial output (pct) July +0.1 -3.8 +4.5
Inflation (pct) Aug +0.8 +0.9 +0.7
Unemployment (pct) July 6.3 n/a n/a
Oil production (mnl T) July 5.6 5.9 5.7
Copper output ('000 T) July 32.0 34.6 31.1
Zinc output ('000 T) July 30.8 30.1 27.2
Copper output ('000 T) Jan-July 216.4 --- 239.1
Oil production (mln T) Jan-July 41.2 --- 38.9
Zinc output ('000 T) Jan-July 214.3 --- 213.1
Inflation (pct) Jan-Aug +7.5 --- +6.3
Industrial output (pct)Jan-July +3.3 --- +5.6
Trade balance ($bln) Jan-June +17.96 --- +7.01
Exports ($bln) Jan-June 35.05 --- 21.81
Imports ($bln) Jan-June 17.09 --- 14.80
FORECASTS FOR 2008
GDP (pct) 5.3
Annual inflation (pct)* 10.0
Annual inflation (pct)** 9.9
Budget deficit (bln tenge/pct GDP) -334.4/2.1
Budget revenues (bln tenge) 2.729
Budget spending (bln tenge) 3.064
Industrial output (pct) 9.6
Oil output (mln T) 70.0
Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight) 16-17
* - government
** - National Bank
ANNUAL COMPARISONS
2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 GDP +8.7 +10.7 +9.7 +9.6 +9.3 +9.8 +13.5 +9.8 Ind output (pct)
+4.5 7.0 +4.6 10.1 +8.8 +9.8 +13.5 +14.6 Inflation (pct)
+10.8 +8.6 +7.6 +6.7 +6.8 +6.6 +6.4 +9.8 Yr-end M3 (trln tenge)
4.61 3.72 2.07 1.64 1.00 0.77 0.57 0.40 Yr end unemployment (pct)
7.3 7.8 8.2 8.4 8.8 9.3 10.4 12.8 Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight)
20.1 16.5 13.8 12.4 14.8 15.9 15.9 11.6 Oil output (mln T)
67.5 65.0 61.9 59.4 51.5 47.2 40.1 35.3
Copper output ('000 T)
405.8 427.5 418.8 445.2 432.5 453.0 421.8 394.7
Note: Oil output includes gas condensate
KAZAKHSTAN'S LONG-TERM RATINGS
S&P (April 30, 2008) BBB- negative outlook
Moody's (June 9, 2006) Baa2 stable outlook
Fitch (Dec 17, 2007) BBB negative outlook
(State Statistics Agency website www.stat.kz,
Stock Exchange www.kase.kz/eng/
Central Bank www.nationalbank.kz/?switch=eng)
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