INDICATORS - Kazakhstan - November 5
Nov 5 (Reuters) - Kazakhstan's economic indicators based on data provided by the State Statistics Agency, government institutions, the central bank and exchanges:
*=updated today
CURRENCY/INTEREST RATE
LATEST PREVIOUS *tenge/dollar AFINEX01 KZT= 119.93 119.94 Cbank refinancing rate (pct) 10.50 11.00
MONEY Monetary base(trln tenge) Oct 15 1.69 Sept 30 1.75 Cbank gold/forex reserves ($bln)
Oct 15 20.97 Sept 30 21.95 National fund ($bln) Oct 15 27.42 Sept 30 27.56 Money supply(M3) (trln tenge)July 1 5.20 June 1 5.11
QUARTERLY DATA
Jan-June'08 Jan-March'08 Jan-June'07
GDP (trln tenge) 6.949 3.144 5.495
GDP (pct) +5.4 +6.0 +10.2
MONTHLY DATA
PERIOD CURRENT PREVIOUS YEAR-AGO
MONTH
Industrial output (pct) Sept +0.8 +5.5 -1.8
Inflation (pct) Oct +0.6 +0.6 +4.4
Unemployment (pct) Sept 6.4 6.3 7.1
Oil production (mnl T) Sept 5.5 5.6 5.5
Copper output ('000 T) Sept 41.4 36.4 27.5
Zinc output ('000 T) Sept 28.9 29.9 26.7
Copper output ('000 T) Jan-Sept 294.3 --- 297.2
Oil production (mln T) Jan-Sept 52.4 --- 50.1
Zinc output ('000 T) Jan-Sept 273.2 --- 266.3
Inflation (pct) Jan-Oct +8.8 --- +13.4
Industrial output (pct) Jan-Sept +3.0 --- +4.7
Trade balance ($bln) Jan-Aug +25.05 --- +8.59
Exports ($bln) Jan-Aug 49.59 --- 29.38
Imports ($bln) Jan-Aug 24.55 --- 20.79
FORECASTS FOR 2008
GDP (pct) 5.0
Annual inflation (pct)* 10.0
Annual inflation (pct)** 9.9
Budget deficit (bln tenge/pct GDP) -334.4/2.1
Budget revenues (bln tenge) 2.729
Budget spending (bln tenge) 3.064
Industrial output (pct) 9.6
Oil output (mln T) 67-70
Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight) 15.1
* - government
** - National Bank
ANNUAL COMPARISONS
2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 GDP +8.7 +10.7 +9.7 +9.6 +9.3 +9.8 +13.5 +9.8 Ind output (pct)
+4.5 7.0 +4.6 10.1 +8.8 +9.8 +13.5 +14.6 Inflation (pct)
+10.8 +8.6 +7.6 +6.7 +6.8 +6.6 +6.4 +9.8 Yr-end M3 (trln tenge)
4.61 3.72 2.07 1.64 1.00 0.77 0.57 0.40 Yr end unemployment (pct)
7.3 7.8 8.2 8.4 8.8 9.3 10.4 12.8 Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight)
20.1 16.5 13.8 12.4 14.8 15.9 15.9 11.6 Oil output (mln T)
67.5 65.0 61.9 59.4 51.5 47.2 40.1 35.3
Copper output ('000 T)
405.8 427.5 418.8 445.2 432.5 453.0 421.8 394.7
Note: Oil output includes gas condensate
KAZAKHSTAN'S LONG-TERM RATINGS
S&P (April 30, 2008) BBB- negative outlook
Moody's (June 9, 2006) Baa2 stable outlook
Fitch (Dec 17, 2007) BBB negative outlook
(State Statistics Agency website www.stat.kz,
Stock Exchange www.kase.kz/eng/
Central Bank www.nationalbank.kz/?switch=eng)
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