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FOREX-Dollar at three-week highs vs euro on rates view

Fri Apr 25, 2008 10:33pm IST
 
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(Recasts; adds comments, updates prices)

By Vivianne Rodrigues

NEW YORK, April 25 (Reuters) - The dollar traded at three-week highs against the euro on Friday, boosted by a growing view the Federal Reserve may stop cutting interest rates soon.

U.S. economic data this week showing resilience in some sectors, such as the labor market, contrasted with a sharp drop in business sentiment in Germany. That news, combined with European Central Bank policy-makers' comments highlighting worries about excess volatility in foreign exchange trading, dampened expectations for a rate hike in the euro zone and hurt the euro.

"It's a major shift in sentiment regarding the outlook of interest rates and we may see the dollar strengthening until the next Fed meeting," said Mark Meadows, a market analyst at Tempus Consulting in Washington.

The perceived odds of the Fed keeping its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 2.25 percent at its meeting next week rose to about 26 percent, futures trading shows FEDWATCH. Just over a week ago, futures were evenly split between a 25- and a 50-basis-point cut.

Meanwhile, traders are paring bets the next move by the ECB will be a hike in benchmark interest rates.

"Europe is really not insulated and its economy is beginning to show signs of a slowdown," said Meadows. "While most people now believe the Fed is about to end its easing cycle, a growing number of investors believe the ECB may have to start cutting rates really soon."

In midday trading in New York, the euro was 0.3 percent lower at $1.5628 <EUR=>, after dropping as low as $1.5555 earlier, a three-week low.  Continued...

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