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FUND VIEW - Barclays bets on lagging markets as recovery firms

Wed Nov 4, 2009 8:18am IST
 
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By Manuela Badawy

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Barclays Wealth is betting on small companies in developed countries, exposure to economic growth in Asia, and commodity exporter currencies to preserve and increase wealth for its clients.

Although emerging markets have led the global economic recovery, stocks from this asset class are now more expensive than from developed markets, said Aaron Gurwitz, head of global investment strategy at Barclays Wealth, which returned more than 100 percent between early March and mid October.

Instead, developed equity markets, and in particular small and medium capitalization companies, are now best positioned to reap the rewards of an economic recovery.

"Laggards are those U.S. small- and mid-cap companies that have not performed as well as they usually would do relative to the wider market, probably because large cap banks have been hogging the limelight," said Kevin Gardiner, head of investment strategy for Europe, Middle East and Africa.

"As that fades and the economic recovery comes more to the fore we expect small-cap companies to start performing once again," Gardiner said.

Asia, however, will remain the most dynamic region of the world, the source of opportunity as well as risk, Gurwitz said.

Asian economic growth should lead to greater demand for commodities, with base metals and energy companies leading the way, said Manpreet Gill, Asia strategist.

Commodity currencies are another way of executing the same view, Gill added, saying the bank favored the Australian dollar and the Norwegian krona as their governments are leading the way in tightening monetary policy.  Continued...

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