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INTERVIEW-Deficit, inflation seen threatening India's recovery

Sun Nov 8, 2009 7:16pm IST
 
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* Deficit cut targets ambitious, necessary

* Stake sales should fund fiscal position

By Rajesh Kumar Singh

NEW DELHI, Nov 8 (Reuters) - A high fiscal deficit and rising inflationary pressure could derail India's economic recovery, an advisor to the country's prime minister said on Sunday.

A string of fiscal stimulus measures to revive the economy along with lower revenues in a slowing economy have hurt India's finances, with the fiscal deficit projected to rise to 6.8 percent of GDP in the year through March 2010, a 16-year high, compared with 6.2 percent in the previous year.

"Fiscal deficit is one cause for concern. We don't have that much room on the fiscal side," Raghuram Rajan told Reuters in an interview on the sidelines of a World Economic Forum.

To fund its record deficit the government has resorted to record borrowing of 4.51 trillion rupees ($96.4 billion) during the current fiscal year, which some market-watchers have said could crowd out private borrowers.

The government has laid a roadmap to bring down the deficit to 5.5 percent of GDP in 2010-11, and to 4 percent in 2011-12.  Continued...

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