Indian Data Watch-Inflation data on Nov 20
DAY LOCAL/GMT INDICATOR/EVENT PERIOD FORECAST PREVIOUS -------------Calendar for November 17 week------------------- Thu 1800/1230 Inflation Nov 8 N/F 8.98 pct Fri 1700/1130 Forex reserves Nov 14 N/F $251.36 bln Fri 1700/1130 M3 money supply Nov 7 N/F 19.9 pct Fri 1700/1130 Bank credit Nov 7 N/F 29 pct -------------Calendar for November 24 week------------------- Thu 1800/1230 Inflation Nov 15 N/F NA Fri 1200/0630 GDP Jul-Sep N/F 9.3 pct Fri 1600/1030 Fiscal deficit Apr-Oct N/F 1,027 bln
(in bln rupees) Fri 1700/1130 Forex reserves Nov 21 N/F NA -------------Calendar for December 1 week-------------------- Mon 1030/0500 ABN Amro PMI Nov N/F 52.2 Mon 1200/0630 Trade deficit Nov N/F $10.63 bln Thu 1200/0630 Infrastructure Oct N/F 5.1 pct
output@ Thu 1800/1230 Inflation Nov 22 N/F NA Fri 1700/1130 Forex reserves Nov 28 N/F NA Fri 1700/1130 M3 money supply Nov 21 N/F NA Fri 1700/1130 Bank credit Nov 21 N/F NA @ Tentative date subject to change -------------Calendar for December 8 week-------------------- Thu 1800/1230 Inflation Nov 29 N/F NA Fri 1200/0630 Industrial output Oct N/F 4.8 pct Fri 1700/1130 Forex reserves Dec 5 N/F NA -------------------------------------------------------------
WEEKLY CURRENT WK-EARLIER YR-EARLIER WPI inflation Nov 1 8.98 pct 10.72 pct 3.35 pct Forex reserves Nov 7 $251.36 bln $252.88 bln $270.18 bln -------------------------------------------------------------
BI-MONTHLY CURRENT TWO WK-EARLIER YR-EARLIER M3 (yoy) Oct 24 19.9 pct 20.3 pct 22.5 pct Bank deposit Oct 24 34.86 34.69 28.8 (Rs. trillion) Bank credit Oct 24 26.15 26.07
20.27 (Rs. trillion) -------------------------------------------------------------
MONTHLY CURRENT MONTH EARLIER YR EARLIER Fiscal deficit Sep 77.0 pct 87.7 pct 53.8 pct (pct of budget target) Trade balance Sep -$10.63 bln -$13.94 bln -$4.56 bln Exports Sep $13.75 bln $16 bln $12.46 bln Imports Sep $24.38 bln $29.95 bln $17.01 bln Industry output Sep 4.8 pct 1.4 pct 7.0 pct Infrastructure Sep 5.1 pct 2.7 pct 5.8 pct output Car sales Oct 98,900 108,823 105,877 (domestic) Cement output Oct 14.71 13.86 13.86 (mln tonnes)# Cement Oct 14.26 13.87 13.74 despatches (mln tonnes)# NOTE - Figures have been rounded off; # Cement production and despatches figures are provisional as compiled by Cement Manufacturers' Association of India. ------------------------------------------------------------- QUARTERLY PERIOD CURRENT QTR EARLIER QTR YR-AGO GDP Apr-Jun 7.9 pct 8.8 pct 9.2 pct Balance of Apr-Jun -$2.24 bln -$24.99 bln -$11.2 bln payment@ @ Source: Reserve Bank of India; (-) means increase ------------------------------------------------------------- ANNUAL 2007/08 2006/07 2005/06 2004/05 Population (million) 1,127 1,111 1,107 1,090 Real GDP growth (pct) 9.0 9.6 9.4 7.5 Industrial output 8.1 11.6 9.6 9.8 (pct growth) Agricultural output 4.5 3.8 6.0 0.0 (pct growth) Fiscal deficit 2.8 3.5 4.1 4.0 (% of GDP) b Balance of Payments -92.16 -36.61 -15.05 -26.16 (in $ bln) @ Current a/c -17.40 -9.77 -9.9 -5.4 balance (in $ bln) Exports (merchandise) 162.9 128.08 105.15 83.5 (in $ bln) Car production 1.42 1.24 1.05 0.96 (mln units) Car sales (mln units) 1.20 1.08 0.88 0.82 @ Source: Reserve Bank of India; (-) indicates increase ------------------------------------------------------------- (Estimates are as per Central Statistical Organisation) SOVEREIGN RATINGS (OUTLOOK) FOR LONG-TERM FOREIGN CURRENCY DEBT: Moody's Baa3 (stable); S&P BBB- (stable); Fitch BBB- (stable) ($1=49 rupees) (Compiled by Rajkumar Ray)
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