METALS-Shanghai copper lower despite dollar, oil
* Copper prices lower despite weak dlr, steady oil
* Shanghai market less bullish, seen rangebound
By Rujun Shen and Edmund Klamann
SHANGHAI, Nov 5 (Reuters) - Shanghai copper edged lower on Thursday, and is expected to move in a narrow range, pressured by the spot market, despite support from a weaker U.S. dollar and steady oil prices.
Investors were eyeing rate decisions by the European Central Bank and the Bank of England later in the day, after the U.S. Federal Reserve said on Wednesday it would keep rates steady near zero. [ECB/INT] [BOE/INT].
The dollar was expected to remain under pressure as the Fed decision encouraged investors to turn to higher-yielding currencies, as oil prices stayed firm.
"I don't expect copper prices to go down much, exactly because those markets are being supportive," said Lin Yuhui, deputy general manager of Jinhui Futures, who expects copper prices to be rangebound for at least a few weeks.
"Even though copper is bullish in the medium- and long-term, the pace of ascent needs some adjustment. Prices would either be rangebound for a while to consolidate, or move down before rising higher."
Shanghai's benchmark third-month copper futures contract SCFc3 fell 0.8 percent to close at 50,710 yuan ($7,429) a tonne, despite a 1.7 percent rise in London copper in the previous session.
Three-month copper futures contracts on the London Metal Exchange MCU3 shed $55 to $6,515 a tonne by 0703 GMT.
The market is also awaiting monthly U.S. employment data due Friday. Forecasts call for the unemployment rate to edge up to 9.9 percent in October from 9.8 percent in September; non-farm payrolls are expected to fall by 175,000 in October after a decline of 263,000 in September.
"The abundant spot supply is weighing down on prices, but bullish sentiment has not disappeared. Price movement is stuck between these two forces," said Li Rong, an analyst at Great Wall Futures.
"There is very little going on, as reflected in the shrinking trading activity in the market."
China's September copper imports staged a surprise jump, and production also peaked, but the real demand picture remained murky.
"Shanghai is obviously dragging down London today," said a Shanghai-based trader. "The bullish sentiment in China is not as strong as in London. China's end-consumers and people with import contracts are not willing to buy at the current price levels.
"There is not a clear direction in the market, therefore prices won't fluctuate too much."
Supply side concerns continue to support prices. Workers may go on strike at Antamina, a major copper pit in Peru, if contract talks with the company fail. The strike at Chile's Spence copper mine has lasted three weeks. [ID:ID:nN0426576]
LME aluminium MAL3 fell $16 to $1,905 a tonne, and Shanghai aluminium edged down 0.2 percent to 15,190 yuan a tonne.
LME lead fell 1.3 percent to $2,320 a tonne.
Demand for lead in China is weakening as production of batteries for electric bicycles falls in the winter, even though demand from the car sector stays steady.[ID:nHKG161792] Base metals prices at 0703 GMT Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2008 Pct chg 09 LME Cu 6515.00 -55.00 -0.84 3060.00 112.91 SHFE Cu* 50710.00 -420.00 -0.82 23840.00 112.71 LME Alum 1905.00 -16.00 -0.83 1535.00 24.10 SHFE Alum* 15190.00 -35.00 -0.23 11540.00 31.63 COMEX Cu** 298.45 0.00 +0.00 139.50 113.94 LME Zinc 2210.00 -19.00 -0.85 1208.00 82.95 SHFE Zinc 16845.00 -135.00 -0.80 10120.00 66.45 LME Nickel 17825.00 -75.00 -0.42 11700.00 52.35 LME Lead 2320.00 -30.00 -1.28 999.00 132.23 LME Tin 14845.00 -155.00 -1.03 10700.00 38.74 LME/Shanghai arb^ 1331 Dollar/yuan 6.8272 \ 6.8282 ** 1st contract month for COMEX copper * 3rd contact month for SHFE aluminium, copper and zinc ^ LME 3-m copper in yuan, including 17 pct VAT, minus SHFE third month ($1=6.826 Yuan) (Editing by Clarence Fernandez)
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