UPDATE 2-LME copper up after oil's leap, Shanghai shut
(Updates prices, adds graphic)
By Nick Trevethan
SINGAPORE, June 9 (Reuters) - London copper prices extended gains in light trading on Monday, rising after an unprecedented spike in oil on Friday and a softer tone to the dollar.
Financial markets in Shanghai and Hong Kong were closed and Australian players were also absent due to market holidays.
London Metal Exchange copper for delivery in three months MCU3 rallied $50 to $8,050 a tonnes at 0703 GMT, after gaining 2.4 percent on Friday, when crude oil surged by its largest ever dollar amount to hit a record high of $139.12 a barrel.
"There is a fear that oil will go haywire after the comments from Israel and that would set off metal prices too," a trader in Singapore said.
"But from a fundamental perspective, not much has changed. Demand is steady -- we are not seeing much demand destruction, and production continues. Prices should remain robust."
Israeli Transport Minister Shaul Mofaz was quoted on Friday in an Israeli newspaper saying that an attack on Iran looks "unavoidable" given the apparent failure of sanctions to deny Tehran nuclear technology with bomb-making potential.
That, along with a decline in the dollar after U.S. payrolls showed their fifth consecutive monthly fall, lit the touch paper under oil, which jumped as much as $11 to a record high.
Shanghai Futures Exchange copper stocks fell 13 percent to 38,829 tonnes last week, above market expectations.
For a chart of combined exchange copper stocks, click on the following link: here
In addition to digesting the stock fall and rocketing oil when they return on Tuesday, Chinese investors will have to contend with Beijing's decision to raise the reserve requirement ratio by 100 points to choke off money supply and curb inflation.
SUPPLY THREATS
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But in Australia, concerns were growing about energy supplies for metals producers, after gas supplies in Western Australia were cut by 30 percent.
"Of increasing concern to the metals, over the medium term at least, is the lasting impact from the explosion at the Varanus Island natural gas plant, off Western Australia," Standard Bank said in a note.
"While many of the affected companies have set about securing alternative energy supplies, the duration of the cuts may yet hinder output."
Aluminium MAL3 gained $8 at $2,965. It rose 2 percent on Friday on worries that Western Australia's gas supply problems would limit alumina production, with the move up reinforced by falls in LME and Shanghai stocks.
Tin MSN3 was unchanged at $22,000. Indonesian tin exports fell almost 28 percent from May 2007 to 7,150 tonnes.
Tin has been the strongest performing metal on the LME, hitting a record $25,500 in mid-May, and dealers said new highs were possible.
"There are one or two contracts that are vulnerable to new highs, tin for example. Fundamentally, it's extremely tight, and the limited liquidity means it's quite easy to ratchet prices up," the Singapore trader said. Metal Prices by 0703 GMT: Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2007 Pct chg 08 LME Cu 8050.00 50.00 +0.63 6670.00 20.69 LME Alum 2965.00 8.00 +0.27 2403.00 23.39 COMEX Cu** 362.40 0.00 +0.00 304.10 19.17 LME Zinc 1990.00 10.00 +0.51 2370.00 -16.03 LME Nickel 22000.00 0.00 +0.00 26350.00 -16.51 LME Lead 1965.00 15.00 +0.77 2550.00 -22.94 LME Tin 22000.00 0.00 +0.00 16400.00 34.15 ** 1st contract month for COMEX copper (Editing by Michael Urquhart)
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