Emerging FX-Asia awaits policy signal, Thai c.bank sells dlrs
By Kevin Yao
SINGAPORE, July 7 (Reuters) - Most Asian currencies moved in narrow ranges on Monday as investors waited for policy signals from U.S. Federal Reserve chief Ben Bernanke and Group of Eight leaders, while the Bank of Thailand tried to prop up the baht.
The South Korean won managed decent gains versus the dollar, buoyed by the authorities' warning that stronger dollar-selling intervention was possible to boost the local unit.
The Malaysian ringgit <MYR=> moved between 3.2630 and 3.2680 per dollar, while the Singapore dollar <SGD=> steadied near 1.3650 per dollar after hitting an intraday low at 1.3660.
One trader said some investors moved to cover short positions on the U.S. dollar versus the Singapore dollar, taking the view that it would gain against most Asian currencies in the near term.
"Probably a majority see higher dollar/Asians, so they'd rather square their short positions ahead of Bernanke," the trader said.
As G8 leaders gathered in Japan to discuss climate change, along with soaring food and oil prices, investors wanted to see whether the policy makers from the rich countries would send any strong message on the dollar's slide. [G7/G8]
Several Federal Reserve officials are slated to speak this week, with Bernanke addressing a Federal Deposit Insurance Corp forum on Tuesday and appearing before the House Financial Services committee on Thursday.
The Philippine peso fell as far 45.72 per dollar, down almost 0.6 percent from Friday's close.
"The general view is still for a stronger dollar versus the peso. Probably the market is looking for good levels to buy (the dollar)," said a Manila-based trader.
The peso was quoted at 47.77 per dollar in six-month offshore non-deliverable forwards <PHP6MNDFOR=>, implying a fall of almost 5 percent from the current level.
The won <KRW=> rose as far as 1,036.2 per dollar, up almost 1.4 percent from Friday's domestic close of 1,050.4 as the authorities warned there could be some aggressive dollar-selling intervention to prop up the won and fight inflation.
THAI INTERVENTION
The Bank of Thailand intervened in the market again, selling dollars to support the baht near the pyschologically important 33.60-per-dollar level.
The Thai baht <THB=TH=> still slipped as low as 33.68, its weakest level since December 2007, as investors dumped local stocks amid concern about political uncertainty. The stock market .SETI shed 1.2 percent.
A Thai court is due to rule on Tuesday in a case involving People Power Party deputy leader Yongyut Tiyapairat. If he is found guilty of vote buying in the 2007 election, it could eventually lead to the dissolution of the main party in the ruling coalition.
In recent weeks, the authorities in South Korea, India, Thailand and the Philippines have propped up their currencies by selling dollars, but analysts are sceptical of the effectiveness of such intervention.
"For sure, we believe that their intervention may be partially successful in holding the currencies in the near term," Stewart Newnham, a currency strategist at Morgan Stanley, said in a note.
"But looking further out, we believe that the central banks cannot indefinitely hold back the fundamental forces that they are up against, as they are too powerful, in our view," he said.
The won, the Indian rupee <INR=IN>, the Philippine peso <PHP=> and Vietnam's dong <VND=> are particularly vulnerable to high oil prices, which worsen the countries' trade deficits, analysts say. CURRENCIES VS U.S. DOLLAR Change on the day at 0812 GMT Currency Latest bid Previous day Pct Move Japan yen 107.65 106.81 -0.78 Sing dlr 1.3643 1.3607 -0.26 Taiwan dlr 30.396 30.401 +0.02 Korean won 1039.00 1050.20 +1.08 Baht 33.66 33.42 -0.71 Peso 45.72 45.45 -0.59 Rupiah 9202.00 9215.00 +0.14 Rupee 43.17 43.15 -0.05 Ringgit 3.2645 3.2650 +0.02 Yuan 6.8592 6.8589 -0.00 Change so far in 2008 Currency Latest bid End prev year Pct Move Japan yen 107.65 111.33 +3.42 Sing dlr 1.3643 1.4382 +5.42 Taiwan dlr 30.396 32.443 +6.73 Korean won 1039.00 935.70 -9.94 Baht 33.66 33.68 +0.06 Peso 45.72 41.28 -9.71 Rupiah 9202.00 9390.00 +2.04 Rupee 43.17 39.41 -8.71 Ringgit 3.2645 3.3050 +1.24 Yuan 6.8592 7.3041 +6.49 (Editing by Alan Raybould)
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