METALS-Copper hits new 14-mth highs in London and Shanghai
* Positive data lifts copper to new 14-mth peaks
* Driven by anticipation of stronger Chinese demand
* Eyes on US "Black Friday" shoppers to gauge consumer mood
By Nick Trevethan
SINGAPORE, Nov 26 (Reuters) - Copper rose on Thursday, with London and Shanghai hitting 14-month peaks after upbeat jobless claims, personal consumption and new home sales data added to the feel-good factor following positive words from the Federal Reserve this week.
"Fundamentals haven't really changed," said David Moore, commodities strategist at Commonwealth Bank. "This is sentiment-driven and perhaps anticipating China's demand for raw material may be greater than expectations."
Strength is China's steelmaking sector was already surprising the world's biggest metals miner BHP Billiton (BHP.AX: Quote, Profile, Research) (BLT.L: Quote, Profile, Research).
"One element that continues to surprise us... is the resilience of the Chinese steel sector," Chief Executive Marius Kloppers told shareholders at an annual meeting. [ID:nWNAS7780]
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange MCU3 rose more than half a percent to $7,026 a tonne at 0248 GMT and earlier touched 7,060 its highest since September last year,
Benchmark third-month Shanghai copper SCFc3 rose 550 to 55,230 yuan and earlier touched a 14-month peak of 55,500 yuan.
Trading conditions were predictably thin with U.S. markets closed on Thursday for the Thanksgiving Holiday, which would also keep volumes light on "Black Friday" too.
"The start of the traditional pre-Christmas shopping spree on Friday will be one to watch. If we see long queues and empty shelves those are positive signals about how the U.S. consumer is feeling," a dealer in Sydney said.
He added that another piece of supportive data came from the Vix index. The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index .VIX, or the VIX, a favourite barometer of investor nervousness, sank to its lowest in 15 months.
The dollar .DXY fell to a fresh 15-month low against a a basket of currencies, and dropped as far as 86.52 yen JPY= on trading platform EBS, its lowest since July 1995. [USD/]. A weaker dollar makes dollar-denominated commodities more attractive for investors.
On the downside, rising copper stocks continue to gnaw at sentiment, though at seven days' supply, according to ANZ analysts, they are still lower than than the 10-year average of 10 days.
The lifting of another threat to supply when workers at Antamina, a major copper pit in Peru, said Wednesday they had wrapped up negotiations for a labour agreement, may also dampen enthusiasm for copper, which has rallied around 130 percent this year. [ID:nN25371093]
Nickel MNI3 rose $110 to $17,110, while aluminium MAL3 also edged up. The metals up 46 and 34 percent respectively this year lag far behind gains 90 percent for zinc MZN3m copper's 130 percent rise and lead's MPB3 140 percent rally,
"Nickel has seen the greatest downside adjustment. Fundamentals are fragile and the market will remain in surplus for some time yet," Moore said, adding that supply overhangs in aluminium, both in terms of stocks and idled capacity would check bullish sentiment.
Base metals prices at 0248 GMT Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2008 Pct chg 09 LME Cu 7026.00 41.00 +0.59 3060.00 129.61 SHFE Cu* 55230.00 550.00 +1.01 23840.00 131.67 LME Alum 2053.00 6.00 +0.29 1535.00 33.75 SHFE Alum* 15680.00 25.00 +0.16 11540.00 35.88 COMEX Cu** 316.60 0.00 +0.00 139.50 126.95 LME Zinc 2300.00 -8.00 -0.35 1208.00 90.40 SHFE Zinc 18450.00 135.00 +0.74 10120.00 82.31 LME Nickel 17110.00 110.00 +0.65 11700.00 46.24 LME Lead 2399.00 9.00 +0.38 999.00 140.14 LME Tin 0.00 -15050.00 -100.00 10700.00 -100.00 LME/Shanghai arb^ 882 Dollar/yuan 6.8259 \ 6.8273 ** 1st contract month for COMEX copper * 3rd contact month for SHFE aluminium, copper and zinc ^ LME 3-m copper in yuan, including 17 pct VAT, minus SHFE third month (Editing by Clarence Fernandez) ((nicholas.trevethan@thomsonreuters.com; +65 6870 3822; Reuters Messaging: nicholas.trevethan.reuters.com@reuters.net)) ((If you have a query or comment on this story, send an email to news.feedback.asia@thomsonreuters.com)) Reuters 3000Xtra subscribers can access Metals Production Database by clicking on URL below mpd.session.rservices.com For related news and prices, click on the codes in brackets: LME price overview RING= COMEX copper futures <0#HG:> Base/minor metals news [MET] All metals news [MTL] All commodities news [C] Metals diary [MTL/DIARY] Foreign exchange rates FX=S SPEED GUIDES COMMODS <LME/INDEX>
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