MILAN Monte dei Paschi di Siena (BMPS.MI) has all but failed to pull off a last-ditch rescue plan and a state bailout for the ailing Italian bank now looks inevitable, sources said on Wednesday.
Confirming an earlier Reuters report, the bank said late on Wednesday it had failed to secure an anchor investor for its offer of new shares, which has just hours left to run.
Two sources close to the matter told Reuters this had in turn dissuaded other institutional investors from supporting this part of the 5 billion euros ($5.2 billion) rescue plan.
The bank needs to raise the money in the share offer and a separate debt-for-equity swap by the end of this month to avert being wound down by regulators, a move that would rock confidence in the euro zone's fourth-largest banking sector.
The Italian government is expected to step in this week, possibly as early as Thursday, to bail out the Tuscan lender, Italy's third biggest bank and the world's oldest.
Monte dei Paschi had pinned its hopes on Qatar's sovereign wealth fund investing 1 billion euros in its cash call, but that option is no longer on the table, said the sources familiar with the progress of the rescue plan.
"The idea that Qatar could be an anchor investor has vanished and without an anchor investor there is no demand from anyone else," one source said.
Monte dei Paschi, recently judged the weakest of the euro zone's major banks, declined to comment.
The share sale, which the bank had estimated could raise 3.2 billion euros, closes at 2 p.m. (1300 GMT) on Thursday.
A failure of Monte dei Paschi, which has been in crisis mode for years, would threaten the savings of thousands of Italians, though a government bailout might not protect them entirely. Under EU bailout rules, investors must bear some of the losses before taxpayer money can be used to save a bank.
Parliament earlier on Wednesday approved a 20 billion euro plan to prop up the wider banking sector, starting with a yet-to-be-disclosed investment in Monte dei Paschi.
Prime Minister Paolo Gentiloni's new government is expected to meet on Thursday or Friday to issue an emergency decree to bail out the bank. This would expose the lender's 40,000 retail bondholders to losses, a politically explosive move.
Under the private rescue plan, Monte dei Paschi has had to persuade retail and institutional bondholders to convert their notes into shares.
In a rare piece of positive news, the bank said on Wednesday the capital increase from the debt swap totalled up to 2.06 billion euros, above its estimates. However, it reiterated that its rescue plan would fail without the share sale raising sufficient funds.
Shares in the bank closed down 12 percent at 16.30 euros.
($1 = 0.9573 euros)
(Reporting by Paola Arosio and Silvia Aloisi; Editing by Alexandra Hudson and John Stonestreet)