METALS-Copper gains on weaker dlr, data mixed
* Aluminium hits 4-wk high, inventories fall for second day
* Weak dollar offers industrial metals support
* Macro data mixed, offer little true direction
(Recasts lead, updates closing prices, adds detail)
By Rebekah Curtis and Michael Taylor
LONDON, June 4 (Reuters) - Copper reversed earlier losses to punch through the psychological $5,000 level late on Thursday as a weaker dollar gave support, while mixed economic data kept demand concerns alive.
Aluminium prices rose more than 5 percent to the highest level in four weeks after a second day of inventory falls boosted prices.
Copper for three-months delivery MCU3 on the London Metal Exchange closed at $5,025 a tonne, from a close of $4,915 on Wednesday. It earlier hit a session high of $5,038.
The metal used extensively in power and construction rose to a seven and a half month high of $5,145 a tonne earlier this week as stronger data fanned speculation the global economy may be convalescing, but weaker U.S. data on Wednesday cooled the optimism.
Analysts maintain the economic outlook is improving as the rate of bad news slows but view the recent market gains as over zealous.
"People don't expect a dramatic, swift recovery, but they do expect a recovery," Standard Bank analyst Leon Westgate said.
"People are now brave enough to look a bit further forward now that things appear to have bottomed. China's economy is growing and the economic data is not great but it's not getting worse," Westgate added.
As well as weak U.S. jobs data, the service sector, which accounts for about 80 percent of U.S. economic activity, shrank for the eighth straight month in May. But the rate of contraction slowed. [ID:nL480256]
On the upside however, data showed that fewer U.S. workers filed new claims for jobless benefits for a third straight week and productivity rose. [ID:nN04201550]
"A lot of new investment into base metals was on the back of this dollar weakness," said Justin Lennon, an analyst at Mitsui Bussan Commodities in New York.
A weak U.S. currency makes metals priced in dollars less expensive for holders of other currencies. [USD/]
"Copper is fairly valued," he added. "China is going to be easing up on its consumption of it and while imports may appear stronger than normal, that is due to the scrap situation."
On the corporate front, Rio Tinto (RIO.AX: Quote, Profile, Research) (RIO.L: Quote, Profile, Research) is looking at new ways to deal with its huge debt burden, the mining group said in response to reports its planned $19.5 billion stake sale to China's Chinalco has collapsed. [ID:nSYD357712]
ALUMINIUM STOCKS FALL
Aluminium MAL3, used in transport and packaging, closed at at $1,564.5 a tonne from $1,482 but earlier hit $1,585 -- its highest since May 7.
Inventory data offered some respite for the metal used in transport. Stocks fell for the second session in a row, dropping 6,900 tonnes to break a relentless rise since April 20 that has brought levels to above 4.2 million tonnes.
But the outlook for aluminium is weak as potential production restarts in China threaten to flood the market with material and as the auto sector continues to languish.
"I'm worried that on any pick-up in prices, a lot of facilities in China could get restarted, and that could temper any further (price) rise," said Charles Kernot, a mining analyst at Evolution Securities.
Among other industrial metals, zinc MZN3 closed at $1,575 from 1,535, battery material lead MPB3 ended at $1,665 from $1,615.
Tin MSN3 closed at $14,700 versus $14,500 but earlier hit $14,800 -- its highest point since mid-November. The metal remained in a high backwardation -- a premium for nearby material over three-months contracts -- above $200. Signalling a potential squeeze, data shows a dominant position controlling about 90 percent of cash warrants on LME stocks.
Nickel MNI3 ended at $14,700 from $14,200.
Metal Prices at 1617 GMT Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2008 Ytd Pct
move COMEX Cu 228.05 6.90 +3.12 139.50 63.48 LME Alum 1560.00 78.00 +5.26 1535.00 1.63 LME Cu 4995.00 -55.00 -1.09 3060.00 63.24 LME Lead 1644.00 29.00 +1.80 999.00 64.56 LME Nickel 14550.00 -70.00 -0.48 11700.00 24.36 LME Tin 14650.00 150.00 +1.03 10700.00 36.92 LME Zinc 1560.00 25.00 +1.63 1208.00 29.14 SHFE Alu 13010.00 -65.00 -0.50 11540.00 12.74 SHFE Cu* 39490.00 -1150.00 -2.83 23840.00 65.65 SHFE Zin 13170.00 -160.00 -1.20 10120.00 30.14 ** 1st contract month for COMEX copper * 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07
(Reporting by Michael Taylor; editing by Keiron Henderson)
© Thomson Reuters 2009 All rights reserved
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