December 12, 2016 / 4:13 AM / 8 months ago

GRAINS-Soybeans up for 2nd day on concerns over Argentina dryness

* Soybeans gain for 4 out of 5 sessions, corn eases after
rally
    * Market building in weather premium in beans on Argentina
dryness

 (Adds comment, detail)
    By Naveen Thukral
    SINGAPORE, Dec 12 (Reuters) - Chicago soybeans extended
gains on Monday, rising for four out five sessions with hot and
dry weather in parts of Argentina's oilseed belt buoying the
market.
    Corn was unchanged after last session's rally as prices were
capped by ample global supply, while wheat edged lower after two
days of gains.
    "Southern Argentina is forecast to receive some rain today
and tomorrow but not enough to scratch dryness fears off the
watchlist," said Tobin Gorey, director of agricultural strategy
at Commonwealth Bank of Australia.
    "And hot conditions developing mid-week will increase
evaporation rates. Argentina's crop will be depending on a
forecast rain event that is still a little over a week away. 
Prices are likely to continue moving higher between now and then
as traders price in the risk that the event does not evolve."
    Chicago Board of Trade's most-active soybean contract 
had risen 0.9 percent to $10.47 a bushel by 0348 GMT, having
firmed 1 percent on Friday.
    Corn was flat at $3.59-3/4 a bushel, having gained 1.7
percent in the previous session. Wheat slid 0.4 percent to
$4.14-3/4 a bushel, after closing up almost 2 percent on Friday.
    The U.S. Department of Agriculture raised its global ending
stocks outlook for corn, soybeans and wheat due to increased
production outlooks in countries such as Brazil and Australia.
 
    In its monthly supply and demand report, the agency said
that U.S corn ending stocks for the 2016/17 marketing year would
come in at 2.403 billion bushels, 10 million bushels below the
average of estimates given in a Reuters survey of analysts.
    U.S. soybean ending stocks of 480 million bushels were 10
million bushels higher than the average of trade forecasts.
    For wheat, it raised its world ending stocks outlook to
252.14 million tonnes from 249.23 million tonnes. It also raised
its estimate of the Australian wheat harvest to 33 million
tonnes from 28.30 million tonnes. Analysts had expected wheat
ending stocks of 250.33 million tonnes.
    The Commodity Futures Trading Commision after the close of
trading on Friday said speculative investors, including hedge
funds, increased their net short or bearish positions in CBOT
corn and wheat futures and slashed their net long in soybeans in
the week ended Dec. 6. 
    
 Grains prices at  0348 GMT
 Contract    Last     Change  Pct chg  Two-day chg  MA 30    RSI
 CBOT wheat  414.75   -1.50   -0.36%   +1.59%       421.24   60
 CBOT corn   359.50   0.00    +0.00%   +1.70%       355.86   59
 CBOT soy    1047.00  9.50    +0.92%   +1.95%       1015.65  60
 CBOT rice   9.96     $0.04   +0.35%   +1.89%       $9.74    60
 WTI crude   53.96    $2.46   +4.78%   +6.14%       $47.31   73
 Currencies                                                  
 Euro/dlr    $1.056   $0.000  -0.02%   -0.55%                
 USD/AUD     0.7450   0.000   -0.01%   -0.12%                
 Most active contracts
 Wheat, corn and soy US cents/bushel. Rice: USD per
 hundredweight
 RSI 14, exponential
         

 (Reporting by Naveen Thukral; Editing by Joseph Radford)

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