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UPDATE 1-RESEARCH ALERT-Morgan Stanley cautious on US banks

Mon Mar 10, 2008 10:23pm IST
 
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 March 10 (Reuters) - Morgan Stanley said it was cautious on
U.S. large-cap banks, including Bank of America (BAC.N: Quote, Profile, Research),
Citigroup (C.N: Quote, Profile, Research) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM.N: Quote, Profile, Research), citing severe
credit deterioration over the next two to three quarters.
 The investment bank cut its 2008 estimates on banks by $8.8
billion to take into account further expected write-downs in
capital markets businesses.
 "Additionally, we are lowering our forecast for capital
market sensitive revenues: investment banking fees, trading and
asset management fees," analyst Betsy Graseck said in a
research note.
 Morgan Stanley estimated an additional $5 billion in
collateralized debt obligation (CDO) write-downs at both
Citigroup and Bank of America, and $145 million at Wachovia
Bank, in the first quarter based on ABX trends.
 The analyst also sees higher losses for some banks' home
equity portfolios due to the severe stress in the housing
market.
 Following is a table listing Morgan Stanley's price target
and estimate changes on 10 U.S. banks.
                                           Price Target 2008
EPS
                                Rating      New Old     New
 Old Bank of America (BAC.N: Quote, Profile, Research)             Equalweight $33 $36  
$2.97 $3.75 Citigroup (C.N: Quote, Profile, Research)                     Underweight $20
$22   $2.09 $2.60 JPMorgan Chase (JPM.N: Quote, Profile, Research)             
Overweight  $37 $39   $3.18 $3.40 Key Corp (KEY.N: Quote, Profile, Research)             
   Underweight $17 $18   $1.48 $1.67 PNC Financial Services
(PNC.N: Quote, Profile, Research)      Overweight  $68 $68   $5.25 $5.30 Suntrust Bank
(STI.N: Quote, Profile, Research)               Equalweight $53 $53   $4.08 $4.11
Wachovia Bank (WB.N: Quote, Profile, Research)                Underweight $28 $30   $2.84
$3.56 Bank of New York Mellon Corp (BK.N: Quote, Profile, Research) Overweight  $52 $52  
$3.09 $3.13 Northern Trust Corp (NTRS.O: Quote, Profile, Research)        Overweight  $80
$80   $3.80 $4.04 State Street Corp (STT.N: Quote, Profile, Research)          
Overweight  $90 $90   $5.12 $5.17
 (Reporting by Biswarup Gooptu in Bangalore; Editing by Deepak
Kannan)


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