UPDATE 1-Analysts downgrade Synchronoss after weak forecast
(Recasts, adds details, share movement)
BANGALORE, May 7 (Reuters) - At least three brokerages downgraded Synchronoss Technologies Inc (SNCR.O: Quote, Profile, Research) on Wednesday, a day after the communications software maker cut its 2008 outlook on declining revenue associated with Apple Inc's (AAPL.O: Quote, Profile, Research) iPhone.
Synchronoss, whose shares fell as much as 44 percent to a 52-week low, gets paid when customers activate their iPhone with AT&T Corp (T.N: Quote, Profile, Research), the only official U.S. service provider for the smartphone.
However, many iPhone customers are choosing to "unlock" the device and activate it with a cellular provider other than AT&T.
Synchronoss, which derived 72 percent of its first-quarter revenue from business related to AT&T, expects iPhone-related revenue to decline $30 million in 2008.
Goldman Sachs analyst Elizabeth Grausam said the company's management had "simply thrown in the towel in attempting to meaningfully forecast iPhone contributions due to the near-term erosion in activation visibility..."
The outlook implies that iPhone activations dramatically decreased over April as consumers prepare for the widely anticipated 3G iPhone launch in June, Grausam said.
However, the current lull in domestic iPhone demand is expected to reverse in the second half of the year as the next-generation handset hits the shelves this summer, Grausam added.
Synchronoss slashed its 2008 earnings view to 55 cents to 60 cents a share, from its prior view of 92 cents to $1.01 a share. It now expects revenue of $115 million to $120 million, down from its prior view of $151 million to $160 million.
Analysts on average are expecting the Bridgewater, New Jersey-based company to earn 66 cents a share, before special items, on revenue of $127.8 million, according to Reuters Estimates.
LOOKING BEYOND AT&T
Synchronoss is trying to diversify its customer base and has added several new customers including Sprint Nextel Corp (S.N: Quote, Profile, Research), European mobile company Vodafone (VOD.L: Quote, Profile, Research), Brightpoint Inc (CELL.O: Quote, Profile, Research) and Art Technology Group Inc (ARTG.O: Quote, Profile, Research).
However, it does not expect to see the majority of the impact from recently added customer engagements until 2009 and beyond, Chief Financial Officer Lawrence Irving said in a statement.
"Transparency and visibility have proven to be quite low in Synchronoss's business," Avondale Partners analyst John Bright said and downgraded the stock to "market perform."
Shares of the company were down about 43 percent at $13.15 in afternoon trade, making them the highest percentage loser on Nasdaq. The shares touched a 52-week low of $12.72 earlier in the session.
Following are the research actions by the brokerages: Brokerage Rating Price Target
New Old New Old Avondale Market perform Market outperform $15 $29 Goldman Sachs Buy# -- $19* $38 Needham Hold Buy N/A Raymond James Outperform# -- $18 $28 S&P Equity Hold Buy $14 $28 * Six-month price target # Rating reiterated (Reporting by Jennifer Robin Raj; Editing by Himani Sarkar)
© Thomson Reuters 2008 All rights reserved















