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Weak job report propels U.S. rates futures

Sat Nov 7, 2009 1:20am IST
 
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By Richard Leong and Kirsten Donovan

NEW YORK/LONDON (Reuters) - U.S. short-term interest rates futures rose on Friday after a disappointing jobs report resulted in more bets that the Federal Reserve will leave rates near zero a long time in a bid to sustain economic growth.

Since the Fed's vow to stick with its ultra-easy policy stance on Wednesday, futures on eurodollars and federal funds posted a series of contract highs.

"The bids have been relentless," said Christian Cooper, an interest rate strategist at RBC Capital Markets in New York.

Surging futures on fed funds, or banks' overnight lending of their excess reserves, implied traders expect less likelihood of the Fed raising rates in the first half of 2010. Once it does start raising rates, the Fed is expected to do so slowly.

The July fed funds contract reached a contract high of 99.59 after the government said its jobless rate rose to a 26-1/2 year high of 10.2 percent.

This suggested traders had priced in a 64 percent chance that the Fed will begin to raise rates mid-2010, down from 100 percent two days ago.

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