LONDON, April 27 After the dynamic growth of the
BRIC countries in the last decade, a batch of six more countries
-- the CIVETS -- will be the ones to watch in the next 10 years,
HSBC's (HSBA.L) (0005.HK) chief executive predicted.
Colombia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Egypt, Turkey and South Africa
will take over as the new BRICs, as Brazil, Russia, India and
China were dubbed a decade ago.
"Each has a very bright future," HSBC CEO Michael Geoghegan
said of the CIVETS, named after the cat-like animals found in
some of the countries. "Each has large, young, growing
population. Each has a diverse and dynamic economy. And each, in
relative terms, is politically stable."
Geoghegan, whose bank is the biggest in Europe but is
targeting emerging markets for growth, said the growing
importance of countries also including Mexico, Indonesia and
Turkey will continue the power shift away from traditional
economic strongholds of Europe and the United States.
Emerging markets will grow three times faster than developed
countries this year and are driving global recovery, he said.
"Within three years, for the first time, the economic
firepower of emerging markets will overtake the developed world,
measured by purchasing power parity. It's a defining moment."
The size of the emerging market middle class will swell to
1.2 billion people by 2030, from 250 million in 2000, he said.
That bodes well for financial services, as households tend
to open bank accounts and ask for other products when income
reaches about $10,000, Geoghegan said.
"Many Chinese households are about to hit this level. They
number about 33 million now. But they will quadruple to 155
million by 2014. In India, the change will also be dramatic," he
(Reporting by Steve Slater; Editing by David Holmes)