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INDICATORS - Kazakhstan - July 9

Wed Jul 9, 2008 11:12am IST
 
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   July 9 (Reuters) - Kazakhstan's economic indicators based
on data provided by the State Statistics Agency, government
institutions, the central bank and exchanges:
 *=updated today
                         CURRENCY/INTEREST RATE
                                       LATEST   PREVIOUS
  *tenge/dollar AFINEX01 KZT=         120.38     120.48
  Cbank refinancing rate (pct)             10.50      11.00
                            MONEY
  Monetary base(trln tenge)    June 30  1.75   June 16  1.83
  Cbank gold/forex reserves ($bln)
                            June 30 21.23   June 16 21.37
  National fund ($bln)         June 30 25.67   June 16 24.05
  Money supply(M3) (trln tenge)  May 1  4.85   April 1  4.82
                             QUARTERLY DATA
                  Jan-March'08  Jan-Dec'07 Jan-March'07
 GDP (trln tenge)     3.144      12.567       2.532
 GDP (pct)           +6.0        +8.5       +10.6
                              MONTHLY DATA
                        PERIOD  CURRENT PREVIOUS YEAR-AGO
                                          MONTH
 Industrial output (pct)  May      -1.0     -3.0    -3.2
 Inflation (pct)          June     +1.2     +1.0    +0.8
 Unemployment (pct)       March     6.8      7.2     n/a
 Oil production (mnl T)   May       6.1      5.9     5.6
 Copper output ('000 T)   May      32.0     29.4    34.5
 Zinc output ('000 T)     May      31.2     30.2    31.1
 Copper output ('000 T) Jan-May   149.8      ---   177.4
 Oil production (mln T) Jan-May    29.7      ---    27.9
 Zinc output ('000 T)   Jan-May   153.4      ---   156.6
 Inflation (pct)        Jan-June   +5.7      ---    +4.6
 Industrial output (pct)Jan-May    +3.8      ---    +8.1
 Trade balance ($bln)   Jan-April +11.44     ---   +4.48
 Exports ($bln)         Jan-April  21.52     ---   13.42
 Imports ($bln)         Jan-April  10.08     ---    8.94
                FORECASTS FOR 2008
 GDP (pct)                                  5.3
 Annual inflation (pct)*                  10.0
 Annual inflation (pct)**                  9.9
 Budget deficit (bln tenge/pct GDP) -334.4/2.1
 Budget revenues (bln tenge)             2.729
 Budget spending (bln tenge)             3.064
 Industrial output (pct)                   9.6
 Oil output (mln T)                       67.6
 Grain harvest  (mln T, clean weight)     15.9
 * - government
 ** - National Bank
 
 ANNUAL COMPARISONS
          2007  2006  2005   2004  2003  2002  2001  2000
  GDP       +8.5  +10.7  +9.4   +9.6  +9.3  +9.8 +13.5  +9.8
  Ind output (pct)
         +4.5    7.0  +4.6   10.1  +8.8  +9.8 +13.5 +14.6
  Inflation (pct)
        +10.8  +8.6  +7.6   +6.7  +6.8  +6.6  +6.4  +9.8
  Yr-end M3 (trln tenge)
         4.61  3.72  2.07   1.64  1.00  0.77  0.57  0.40
  Yr end unemployment (pct)
          7.3  7.8   8.2    8.4   8.8   9.3  10.4  12.8
  Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight)
        20.1  16.5  13.8   12.4  14.8  15.9  15.9  11.6
  Oil output (mln T)
        67.5  65.0  61.9   59.4  51.5  47.2  40.1  35.3
  Copper output ('000 T)
       405.8 427.5 418.8  445.2 432.5 453.0 421.8 394.7
      Note: Oil output includes gas condensate
                KAZAKHSTAN'S LONG-TERM RATINGS
 S&P     (April 30, 2008)   BBB- negative outlook
 Moody's (June 9, 2006)   Baa2 stable outlook
 Fitch   (Dec 17, 2007)   BBB  negative outlook
 (State Statistics Agency website www.stat.kz,
  Stock Exchange www.kase.kz/eng/
  Central Bank www.nationalbank.kz/?switch=eng)

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