INDICATORS - Kazakhstan - July 16
July 16 (Reuters) - Kazakhstan's economic indicators based on data provided by the State Statistics Agency, government institutions, the central bank and exchanges:
*=updated today
CURRENCY/INTEREST RATE
LATEST PREVIOUS *tenge/dollar AFINEX01 KZT= 120.05 120.06 Cbank refinancing rate (pct) 10.50 11.00
MONEY Monetary base(trln tenge) June 30 1.75 June 16 1.83 Cbank gold/forex reserves ($bln)
June 30 21.23 June 16 21.37 National fund ($bln) June 30 25.67 June 16 24.05 *Money supply(M3) (trln tenge)June 1 5.11 May 1 4.85
QUARTERLY DATA
Jan-March'08 Jan-Dec'07 Jan-March'07
GDP (trln tenge) 3.144 12.567 2.532
GDP (pct) +6.0 +8.7 +10.6
MONTHLY DATA
PERIOD CURRENT PREVIOUS YEAR-AGO
MONTH
Industrial output (pct) June -3.8 -1.0 -3.2
Inflation (pct) June +1.2 +1.0 +0.8
Unemployment (pct) March 6.8 7.2 n/a
*Oil production (mnl T) June 5.9 6.1 5.2
*Copper output ('000 T) June 34.6 32.0 30.6
*Zinc output ('000 T) June 30.1 31.2 29.0
*Copper output ('000 T) Jan-June 183.5 --- 185.9
*Oil production (mln T) Jan-June 35.6 --- 33.3
*Zinc output ('000 T) Jan-May 183.5 --- 185.9
Inflation (pct) Jan-June +5.7 --- +4.6
Industrial output (pct)Jan-June +3.8 --- +6.8
*Trade balance ($bln) Jan-May +14.43 --- +5.67
*Exports ($bln) Jan-May 28.01 --- 17.50
*Imports ($bln) Jan-May 13.58 --- 11.83
FORECASTS FOR 2008
GDP (pct) 5.3
Annual inflation (pct)* 10.0
Annual inflation (pct)** 9.9
Budget deficit (bln tenge/pct GDP) -334.4/2.1
Budget revenues (bln tenge) 2.729
Budget spending (bln tenge) 3.064
Industrial output (pct) 9.6
Oil output (mln T) 67.6
Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight) 15.9
* - government
** - National Bank
ANNUAL COMPARISONS
2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 *GDP +8.7 +10.7 +9.7 +9.6 +9.3 +9.8 +13.5 +9.8 Ind output (pct)
+4.5 7.0 +4.6 10.1 +8.8 +9.8 +13.5 +14.6 Inflation (pct)
+10.8 +8.6 +7.6 +6.7 +6.8 +6.6 +6.4 +9.8 Yr-end M3 (trln tenge)
4.61 3.72 2.07 1.64 1.00 0.77 0.57 0.40 Yr end unemployment (pct)
7.3 7.8 8.2 8.4 8.8 9.3 10.4 12.8 Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight)
20.1 16.5 13.8 12.4 14.8 15.9 15.9 11.6 Oil output (mln T)
67.5 65.0 61.9 59.4 51.5 47.2 40.1 35.3
Copper output ('000 T)
405.8 427.5 418.8 445.2 432.5 453.0 421.8 394.7
Note: Oil output includes gas condensate
KAZAKHSTAN'S LONG-TERM RATINGS
S&P (April 30, 2008) BBB- negative outlook
Moody's (June 9, 2006) Baa2 stable outlook
Fitch (Dec 17, 2007) BBB negative outlook
(State Statistics Agency website www.stat.kz,
Stock Exchange www.kase.kz/eng/
Central Bank www.nationalbank.kz/?switch=eng)
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