UPDATE 3-Shanghai copper reverses losses; imports fall
(Adds China trade data, updates prices to close)
By Nick Trevethan
SINGAPORE, June 11 (Reuters) - Shanghai copper prices reversed early losses, closing slightly higher after a big fall in Chinese copper imports in May, while London futures held steady and were expected to trade within a $200 range.
The most active Shanghai August copper SCFQ8 contract rose 90 yuan to 60,050 yuan ($8,678) a tonne at the closing bell.
China's imports of unwrought copper and semi-finished copper products fell 19.2 percent on the month to 198,894 tonnes in May, customs data showed on Wednesday, setting the scene for a fall in refined copper when final figures are released later this month. [ID:nHKG330221]
"Cathode imports should be down, but concentrate imports will remain at relatively high levels," analyst Yingxi Yu at Barclays Capital said.
She added: "People are cutting back imports after losing money on the LME-Shanghai spread."
This is making Chinese consumers more reliant on domestic supplies and giving Shanghai metal a bit of a boost, dealers said.
Metals shrugged off a 1.6 percent fall in Shanghai's equity market .SSEC, following a 7.7 percent slide in the previous session after Beijing ramped up bank reserve ratios by another 1 percentage point to try and choke off money supply and curb inflation.
London Metal Exchange copper for delivery in three months MCU3 rose $5 to $7,875 a tonne at 0750 GMT.
"Copper seems happy trading between $7,800 and $8,000. People have been looking for a break after the swings in the dollar and oil, and although we are seeing a lot of volatility, it's pretty much stuck," an LME trader in Hong Kong said.
"If and when it finally breaks, it will be lower. I can't see it going crazy on the upside. All the others are relatively weak. Light consumer buying emerges in aluminium below $2,900. Copper would need to pull back to $7,600 to spark some interest."
Some support came from Peru, where around 800 workers at Freeport McMoRan's Cerro Verde mine walked off the job in a dispute over contracts. [ID:nN10362467]
Cerro Verde is expected to produce 200,000 tonnes of copper in concentrate and around 100,000 tonnes from its SX-EW plant, but Freeport said it did not expect any impact on production.
The gap in prices between the London and Shanghai copper markets narrowed to 3,721 yuan from 4,235 yuan on Tuesday, including Chinese value-added tax, well down from a record 6,549 yuan on April 18.
Shanghai aluminium SAFQ8 ticked up 55 yuan to 18,965 yuan, while LME metal MAL3 fell $10 to $2,945.
Alcoa Inc (AA.N: Quote, Profile, Research) declared force majeure on alumina shipments from Australia after an explosion at Apache Energy's (APA.N: Quote, Profile, Research) Varanus Island facility off Western Australia cut gas supplies to the state by 30 percent.
"Alcoa's force majeure so far hasn't had impact on the aluminium market. There's plenty of aluminium and alumina in China, said Lin Hui, an analyst at Orient Futures Securities.
"Whether there will be significant impact depends on how long the force majeure will last."
Alcoa said it was still receiving gas from its other supplier, but the force majeure would shave 2-3 cents from its second quarter profit per share.
The benchmark August zinc futures contract in Shanghai SZNQ8 fell 35 yuan to 16,050 yuan and earlier hit a life-time low for the third month contract at 15,775 yuan, under pressure from weak domestic demand and arbitrage selling.
On Tuesday, zinc fell by its 4 percent daily limit as selling in Shanghai pushed down domestic zinc prices to close to the production cost of the metal in China.
LME zinc MZN3 fell $19 to $1,915. Metal Prices by 0750 GMT: Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2007 Pct chg 08 LME Cu 7875.00 5.00 +0.06 6670.00 18.07 SHFE Cu* 60050.00 90.00 +0.15 56880.00 5.57 LME Alum 2945.00 -10.00 -0.34 2403.00 22.56 SHFE Alum* 18965.00 55.00 +0.29 18180.00 4.32 COMEX Cu** 355.70 0.00 +0.00 304.10 16.97 LME Zinc 1900.00 -34.00 -1.76 2370.00 -19.83 SHFE Zinc 16050.00 -35.00 -0.22 18950.00 -15.30 LME Nickel 23300.00 -90.00 -0.38 26350.00 -11.57 LME Lead 1960.00 -5.00 -0.25 2550.00 -23.14 LME Tin 21100.00 -275.00 -1.29 16400.00 28.66 LME/Shanghai arb^ 3721 ** 1st contract month for COMEX copper * 3rd contact month for SHFE aluminium, copper and zinc ^ LME 3-m copper in yuan, including 17 pct VAT, minus SHFE third month ($1=6.919 yuan) (Additional reporting by Rujun Shen in Shanghai; Editing by Ben Tan)
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