July 16, 2012 / 10:19 AM / 5 years ago

OUTLOOK-India gold seen falling for fifth week

MUMBAI, July 16 (Reuters) - Indian gold futures are likely
to edge lower, continuing its fall for a fifth week in a row,
weighed by expectations of a firm rupee amid steady global
markets.
    The rupee, which hit its highest level in more than a week,
plays an important role in determining the landed cost of the
dollar-quoted yellow metal. 
    "Indian market will remain under pressure as rupee has
started strengthening," said Pranav Mer, senior analyst with
Mangal Keshav Commodities, adding gold may trade in a range of
28,900-29,400 rupees.
    On Monday, gold for August delivery was 0.04 percent
lower at 29,255 rupees per 10 grams. The contract lost 2.9
percent in the previous four weeks.
    Selling is advised at 29,400-29,500 rupees, for a target of
29,100 rupees, said an analyst with Karvy Comtrade in Hyderabad.
    Some investors also stayed on the sidelines ahead of a
presentation by the U.S. Federal Reserve later in the week,
which could give clues on further round of quantitative easing
in the United States.
    A move by the Fed to launch a third round of quantitative
easing (QE3) would weigh on the dollar and support bullion, but
the U.S. central bank is not expected to do so anytime soon. The
Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke will present his semi-annual monetary
policy report on Tuesday and Wednesday. 
    Silver could also fall in tandem with the yellow metal.
    Silver for September delivery on the MCX was 0.35
percent lower at 52,583 rupees per kg.
    "We are on selling side (in silver)," said an analyst from
Karvy, adding selling is advised at 53,200 rupees, targeting
52,100/51,200 rupees, with the stop loss of 54,500 rupees.

 (Reporting by Siddesh Mayenkar; Editing by Anand Basu)

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