July 16, 2012 / 5:38 AM / 5 years ago

INDICATORS - Kazakhstan - July 16

ALMATY, July 16 (Reuters) - Kazakhstan's economic indicators
based on data provided by the State Statistics Agency,
government institutions, the central bank and exchanges:
    
    * updated today
    
                    CURRENCY/INTEREST RATE 
                                       LATEST     PREVIOUS 
*Tenge/dollar        149.95      149.86
 Cbank refinancing rate (pct)   June 4   6.00        6.50
                    MONEY 
 Monetary base(trln tenge)      May 31  3.30  April 30 3.49 
 Cbank gold/forex reserves ($ bln) 
                                June 30 31.8    May 31 33.8 
 National Fund ($bln)           June 30 51.4    May 31 51.6 
 Money supply(M3)(trln tenge)   May 31  10.34 April 30 10.39
    
                     QUARTERLY DATA 
              Jan-Dec'11  Jan-Dec'10   Jan-Dec'09  Jan-Dec'08 
 GDP (trln tenge) 27.334    21.815       17.008      16.053
 GDP (pct)        +7.5       +7.3         +1.2        +3.3 
                    MONTHLY DATA 
                         PERIOD  CURRENT PREVIOUS YEAR-AGO 
                                           MONTH 
 Ind output (pct)        Jan-June   +1.6     +2.3    +5.8 
 Ind output (pct)        June       +0.4     -1.5    +2.6
 Inflation (pct)         June       +0.3     +0.7    +0.3 
 Inflation (pct)         June/Dec   +2.7     +2.4    +5.1 
 Unemployment (pct)      Q1          5.4      5.4     5.5
*Oil production (mln T)  June        6.6      6.5     6.7 
*Oil production (mln T)  Jan-June   39.7     33.1    40.3 
*Copper output ('000 T)  June       32.4     29.5    28.3 
*Copper output ('000 T)  Jan-June  169.4    137.0   166.3
*Zinc output ('000 T)    June       26.3     27.2    26.4
*Zinc output ('000 T)    Jan-June  158.7    132.4   158.4 
*Trade balance ($ bln)   Jan-May   +22.1    +17.0   +16.3 
*Exports ($ bln)         Jan-May    38.3     29.5    28.9 
*Imports ($ bln)         Jan-May    16.2     12.5    12.6 
                     FORECASTS FOR 2012 
                                      2012 
 GDP growth (pct)                     6.0
 Annual inflation (pct)               6.0-8.0
 Budget deficit (bln tenge/pct GDP)   758.5/2.6 
 Budget revenues (bln tenge)          4,626 
 Budget spending (bln tenge)          5,253 
 Industrial output (pct)              3.9
 Oil and condensate output (mln T)    81.0
 Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight)  14    
    
                      ANNUAL COMPARISONS 
             2011 2010 2009 2008  2007  2006  2005  2004 2003   
 GDP        +7.5  +7.3 +1.2 +3.2  +8.9 +10.7  +9.7  +9.6 +9.3   
 Ind output (pct) 
            +3.5 +10.0 +1.7 +2.1  +4.5  +7.0  +4.6 +10.1 +8.8   
 Inflation (pct) 
            +7.4  +7.8 +6.2 +9.5 +18.8  +8.6  +7.6  +6.7 +6.8   
 Yr-end M3 (trln tenge) 
             n/a  8.55  7.49 6.27  4.61  3.72  2.07  1.64 1.00  
 Yr-end unemployment (pct) 
             n/a  5.5   6.6  6.7   7.3   7.8   8.2   8.4  8.8   
 Grain harvest (mln T, clean weight) 
            27.0 12.2  20.8 15.6  20.1  16.5  13.8  12.4 14.8 
 Oil and gas condensate output (mln T) 
           80.0 79.5  76.4 70.7  67.1  65.0  61.9  59.4 51.5 
 Copper output ('000 T) 
            338  323   368  398  406   428   419   446  433
         
             KAZAKHSTAN'S LONG-TERM RATINGS 
 S&P     (Nov 7, 2011)    BBB+ stable outlook 
 Moody's (Apr 5, 2010)    Baa2 stable outlook 
 Fitch   (Nov 21, 2011)   BBB positive outlook 
 (State Statistics Agency website www.stat.kz, 
 Stock Exchange www.kase.kz/eng/ 
 Central Bank www.nationalbank.kz/?switch=eng)

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