NYMEX-Crude rebounds on economic data, Goldman view
* Goldman Sachs raises end-2009 oil price forecast
* U.S. jobless claims fall, productivity rises
NEW YORK, June 4 (Reuters) - U.S. crude futures were up more than 3 percent Thursday, rallying on news that the number of U.S. workers filing new jobless benefits fell for the third straight week, which reinforced hopes that the recession was easing.
Gains were also built on a higher end-of-2009 price forecast from Goldman Sachs (GS.N: Quote, Profile, Research).
Crude futures bounced back after slumping more than 3 percent on Wednesday on data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration showing a surprise 2.9-million-barrel increase in domestic crude supplies last week. [EIA/S]
"Yesterday's sell-off opened up an opportunity for buying today and there also has been some short-covering," said Peter Beutel, president of trading consultants Cameron Hanover in New Canaan, Connecticut.
"As has been the case lately, constructive economic data has been used as an indicator that the economy will improve and that oil demand will follow. But fundamentals at this point do not justify the current prices for crude futures," he added.
Initial claims for state unemployment insurance benefits fell for a third straight week last week and the number of people staying on benefit rolls after collecting an initial week of aid fell for the first time in January, the Labor Department said. [ID:nN04201550]
In another report, the department said nonfarm productivity was much stronger than initially estimated in the first quarter.
PRICES
* On the New York Mercantile Exchange at 12 p.m. EDT (1600 GMT), July crude CLN9 was up $2.36, or 3.57 percent, at $68.48 a barrel, trading from $65.92 to $68.72.
* Tuesday's $69.05 intraday peak was the highest front-month price since $70.46 was reached on Nov. 5.
* In London, July Brent crude LCON9 rose $2.56, or 3.9 percent, to $68.44 barrel, trading from $65.84 to $68.65.
* NYMEX July RBOB RBN9 rose 3.34 cents, or 1.76 percent, to $1.9350 a gallon, trading from $1.8940 to $1.9535.
* NYMEX July heating oil HON9 was up 4.75 cents, or 2.73 percent, at $1.7859 a gallon, trading from $1.7350 to $1.7955.
* The July/July RBOB crack spread <0#RB-CL=R> was at $12.79. It ended at $13.75 on Wednesday. The July/July heating oil crack spread <0#CL-HO=R> was at $6.53. It ended at $6.89 on Wednesday.
* The spread between the current front month and the five-year forward crude contract CLc61 was at $13.71, based on the July 2014 contract settlement on Wednesday at $82.19. The spread ended at $16.07 on Wednesday.
TECHNICALS
NYMEX crude 10-day/20-day moving average: $65.06/$61.85
Technical support/resistance:
NYMEX crude: $65.00/$70.00
NYMEX heating oil: $1.7180/$1.8410
NYMEX RBOB: $1.8850/$1.95
For a report on technicals click [ID:nL4385284]
MARKET NEWS
* U.S. stocks rose as financial shares gained and encouraging data on jobless claims and business productivity offset disappointing May retail sales. [.N]
* The euro was up slightly against the dollar in choppy trading, following the European Central Bank's decision to keep interest rates unchanged. [USD/]
* The EIA said domestic natural gas storage rose last week by 124 billion cubic feet, well above a Reuters poll forecast for a 114 bcf build, sending NYMEX front-month natural gas futures tumbling 5 percent. [ID:nN04152257]
* Goldman Sachs (GS.N: Quote, Profile, Research) raised its end-of-2009 oil price forecast to $85 a barrel from $65 and introduced a new end-of-2010 forecast of $95. [ID:nL4422610]
* The volume of refined fuel stored on ships floating at sea has jumped nearly 71 percent since early April, industry sources said. [ID:nLV86912] (Reporting by Gene Ramos and Robert Gibbons; editing by Jim Marshall)
© Thomson Reuters 2009 All rights reserved
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