HELSINKI/BELGRADE Dec 22 Nokia
shares fell more than 4 percent on Thursday as analysts warned a
legal battle with Apple could delay for years royalty
payments that are vital to shoring up the Finnish company's
Nokia's patent licence contract with Apple expires at the
end of the year. This week, both sides have taken legal action -
with Nokia accusing Apple of violating some technology patents
and Apple complaining of being overcharged - suggesting a new
deal will be hard to agree.
Patent royalties represent a sliver of Nokia's overall
revenue, more than 90 percent of which comes from sales of
telecoms network equipment. But the licensing payments are
highly profitable at a time when the network business is
suffering an industry-wide slump.
"Nokia will likely be granted a better licence deal from
Apple. But because of the dispute, it could take years to reach
a new contract, and royalties will likely come (as)
retrospective one-time payments," said Inderes analyst Mikael
Rautanen, who has an "accumulate" rating on Nokia shares.
Once the world's dominant cellphone maker, Nokia sold its
handset business to Microsoft in 2014 and focused on
its network business as well as a bulging portfolio of mobile
Wells Fargo Securities analyst Maynard Um, who follows both
companies, said the lawsuits were negative for Apple and Nokia
due to litigation costs and uncertainty over the outcome.
"The fact that this did not go to arbitration suggests, to
us, that the two sides must be far apart in what each party
wants," he wrote in a note to clients.
"It appears (Apple) is not arguing the validity of the
patents but, rather, the rate it deems fair," he said, adding
Nokia could also "choose to file a suit with the International
Trade Commission (ITC) to bar Apple from importing handsets into
the U.S." Um rates both companies' shares as "market perform".
Nokia's patents cover technology that reduces the need for
hardware components in a phone, conserves battery life,
increases radio reception, helps in recovering lost phones and
enables voice recognition, among other features.
The Finnish firm has forecast the run-rate of its patent and
brand licensing sales will be about 950 million euros ($994
million) by the end of 2016, but that it will fall to about 800
million after the Apple deal expires, in the absence of a new
Nokia's total sales in 2016 are expected to top 24 billion
Its shares were down 4.6 percent at 4.52 euros at 1010 GMT,
the biggest fall by a European blue-chip stock.
($1 = 0.9557 euros)
(Editing by Mark Potter)