Europe Products-Gasoline pressured; Germany supports GO
LONDON, Nov 4 (Reuters) - European gasoline's crack to crude oil was subdued, holding near a two-week low, on Wednesday as slow U.S. demand kept the arbitrage export opportunity limited.
In contrast, differentials on gas oil barges in the inland market gained some support from spot demand from Germany.
"There is a bit more heating demand from Germany this morning," one broker said.
But the broker said that the increase in spot demand was limited by the low Rhine water level, which might delay deliveries of products.
Fuel oil was discussed at the highest price level in about 13 months due mainly to jumps in crude oil prices and some extended shutdowns in European simple refineries.
GASOLINE AND NAPHTHA <EURO/DIFF/MOGAS>
* Barges of 10ppm premium unleaded winter gasoline firmed to trade $705-$711 a tonne fob ARA from $700-$705 at Tuesday's close.
* Gasoline's crack to dated Brent BFO- rose about 30 cents to $6.75 barrel from $6.45 on Tuesday, which was the lowest since Oct. 22, according to Reuters data.
* The pressures came from the U.S. weekly oil data late on Tuesday. A report form industry group American Petroleum Institute (API) showed a 501,000 barrel increase in the week to Oct. 30 as higher pump prices softened demand.
* The API data is often used as a precursor for the U.S government data due out at 1530 GMT. Analysts' forecast is an 300,000 barrel rise in gasoline inventories. [EIA/S]
* Brent crude LCOc1 were trading 30 cents up at $78.41 a barrel by 1143 GMT.
* U.S. RBOB gasoline futures were up by 0.32 percent at $2.0069 a gallon. Its crack to U.S. crude was weaker than Eurograde's crack at around $4.27 a barrel.
* The gasoline backwardation between November and December swaps fell to $2 a tonne. It halved to $3 at Tuesday's close from the previous day.
* The outright November swap rose around $5 to $703.75 a tonne fob ARA
* Swaps showed that the arbitrage for November and December to ship gasoline to the United States was open and that traders could expect to make a profit of 30 cents in November and $3.20 in December.
* The structure of the naphtha curve also flattened and the November/December backwardation fell to $1 from around $3 on Tuesday.
* Crack spreads for November were minus $3.90 a barrel and minus $4.75 a barrel for December.
MIDDLE DISTILLATES <EURO/DIFF/GO>
* Differentials on gas oil barges rose due to some buying interest from Germany.
* Barges of gas oil with 0.1 percent sulphur were bid at $9/$8 discounts a tonne fob ARA to November gas oil futures, compared with Tuesday's deals at $10 discounts.
* Refinery material barges were offered at $2/$3 discounts fob Rotterdam and $3 discounts fob Antwerp.
* One barge of 10ppm diesel traded at the benchmark plus $13 a tonne fob ARA for the second half of November. Prompt barges were offered around $10.50 premiums. Tuesday's deals were done around $8 premiums.
* Benchmark November ICE gas oil futures rose $14.75, or 2.36 percent, to $640.00 a tonne, with the contago to December at $8.25 by 1217 GMT. LGOc1 NEWOILOIL
* Gas oil's crack to ICE Brent futures was at $7.87/$8.47 a barrel, compared with $8.32 at the close. LGO-LCO1=R
* Traders said at least two companies would lift gas oil, with 0.1 percent sulphur or higher, from India later in November. The gas oil was likely to shipped to Europe and stored as floating storage.
FUEL OIL <EURO/DIFF/FO>
* High sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) barges with 3.5 percent sulphur were discussed between $450 and $456 a tonne fob ARA, the highest price levels in 13 months and about $8 up from Tuesday's close.
* Traders attributed the rise to the gains in crude oil prices after the European market on Tuesday, which pushed HSFO's two week low at minus $6.90 a barrel.
* So far on Wednesday, the crack to Brent was around minus $6.10.
* HSFO's crack fell to as low as minus $8.90 a barrel in mid-October due to a large imports into the ARA area. But extended maintenance shutdowns at some simple refineries, such as the Wilhemshaven plant in Germany, have provided some support since then. [REF/E]
* Still, the strength of HSFO's crack has been capped as a large part of spot Asian demand has been met by competing supplies from the Middle East, traders said.
(Reporting by Emma Farge and Ikuko Kurahone)
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